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Match facts
Tournament
Stuttgart
Category
Atp250
Round
Qualification Round 1
Surface
grass
Recent form
L. Sonego · match stats · M. Alkaya
Win probability
L. SonegoM. Alkaya
78%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+251 places)
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (56% win rate)
- More effective serve
L. Sonego
1.17
consensus price, since opening
M. Alkaya
5.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
L. Sonego
M. Alkaya
1xBet
1.11
5.50
Betsson
1.12
5.40
Bwin
1.14
5.25
Interwetten
1.12
5.50
Marathon
1.11
5.50
Novibet
1.15
5.25
SportingBet
1.14
5.25
Unibet
1.13
6.00
Consensus
1.12 ▼
5.53 ▼
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
L. Sonego
M. Alkaya
1xBet
1.25
3.57
Betsson
1.21
3.95
Interwetten
1.20
4.00
Marathon
1.24
3.56
Novibet
1.22
3.95
Unibet
1.22
4.20
Consensus
1.22
3.87
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
L. Sonego
M. Alkaya
1xBet
1.20
4.05
Interwetten
1.22
3.80
Marathon
1.19
4.05
Novibet
1.23
3.95
Unibet
1.23
4.10
Consensus
1.21
3.99