Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
80%
Detroit Pistons
20%
Cleveland Cavaliers
Expected total
214
points
Projected score: 109 – 105
Favorite wins
82%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Detroit Pistons #360-22 · 0.732
Cleveland Cavalie… #852-30 · 0.634
Head coaches
Detroit Pistons
Cleveland Cavaliers
Players to watch
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 4/5 | Detroit Pistons |
| First half loser | 6/8 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| First quarter winner | 6/8 | Detroit Pistons |
| First quarter loser | 4/5 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 105 | Detroit Pistons |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 108 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 204 | Detroit Pistons |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 217 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First quarter winner | 4/5 | Detroit Pistons |
| First quarter loser | 4/5 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 106 | Detroit Pistons |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 112 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 218 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 29 | 27 |
| Period2 | 31 | 25 |
| Period3 | 20 | 32 |
| Period4 | 23 | 19 |
| Overtime | 10 | 14 |
Box score
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham G | 48 | 39 | 7 | 9 | 13/27 | 6/10 | -4 | |
| Daniss Jenkins G | 41 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 8/17 | 2/8 | -9 | |
| Tobias Harris F | 40 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6/19 | 1/7 | -2 | |
| Jalen Duren C | 25 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3/5 | 0/0 | -16 | |
| Ausar Thompson GF | 41 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2/6 | 0/1 | +1 | |
| Paul Reed F | 17 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Isaiah Stewart FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/3 | +12 | |
| Caris LeVert G | 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2/7 | 0/3 | -7 | |
| Marcus Sasser G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/1 | +9 | |
| Kevin Huerter GF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -4 | |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden G | 43 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 8/21 | 3/10 | +11 | |
| Donovan Mitchell G | 42 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 7/18 | 1/8 | -4 | |
| Evan Mobley F | 43 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 6/13 | 2/3 | -7 | |
| Jarrett Allen C | 36 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 6/10 | 0/0 | +14 | |
| Dean Wade FC | 23 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +2 | |
| Max Strus GF | 36 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 6/8 | 6/8 | +9 | |
| Sam Merrill G | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2/5 | 2/5 | -7 | |
| Dennis Schröder G | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1/4 | 0/1 | +9 | |
| Jaylon Tyson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -7 | |