Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
48%
Minnesota Timberwolves
52%
San Antonio Spurs
Expected total
218
points
Projected score: 106 – 112
Favorite wins
72%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Minnesota Timberw… #1049-33 · 0.598
San Antonio Spurs #262-20 · 0.756
Head coaches
Minnesota Timberwolves
San Antonio Spurs
Players to watch
FC · San Antonio S…
Last: 27p · 17r · 5a · rating 8.9
G · Minnesota Tim…
Last: 36p · 6r · 2a · rating 8.1
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First quarter loser | 6/8 | Minnesota Timberw… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 109 | Minnesota Timberw… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 115 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 220 | Minnesota Timberw… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 217 | San Antonio Spurs |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 113 | both |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 226 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Minnesota Timberwolves | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 27 | 36 |
| Period2 | 34 | 38 |
| Period3 | 23 | 36 |
| Period4 | 25 | 29 |
Box score
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards G | 36 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 9/26 | 2/7 | -31 | |
| Jaden McDaniels F | 23 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4/13 | 2/4 | -21 | |
| Ayo Dosunmu G | 23 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 4/8 | 0/1 | -28 | |
| Julius Randle FC | 24 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1/8 | 0/2 | -34 | |
| Rudy Gobert C | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0/4 | 0/0 | -10 | |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. G | 22 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 8/15 | 1/3 | -21 | |
| Naz Reid CF | 32 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 7/13 | 3/7 | -15 | |
| Mike Conley G | 19 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | -5 | |
| Joan Beringer C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2/3 | 0/0 | +3 | |
| Julian Phillips F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 | +3 | |
| Bones Hyland G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1/6 | 1/4 | +3 | |
| Kyle Anderson F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | +3 | |
| Jaylen Clark G | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | +3 | |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle G | 30 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 11/16 | 5/7 | +28 | |
| De'Aaron Fox G | 24 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8/10 | 3/3 | +26 | |
| Victor Wembanyama FC | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 6/11 | 0/2 | +25 | |
| Julian Champagnie G | 26 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 5/10 | 4/9 | +35 | |
| Devin Vassell GF | 27 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4/10 | 3/7 | +14 | |
| Dylan Harper G | 26 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 6/8 | 1/3 | +16 | |
| Luke Kornet FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | +8 | |
| Kelly Olynyk FC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/2 | -3 | |
| Harrison Barnes F | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/3 | +7 | |
| Carter Bryant F | 13 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1/3 | 0/1 | +16 | |
| Jordan McLaughlin G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | -3 | |
| Mason Plumlee FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | -3 | |
| Bismack Biyombo C | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | -5 | |
| Lindy Waters III G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 | 0/1 | -3 | |
| Keldon Johnson FG | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | -8 | |