Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
42%
Cleveland Cavaliers
58%
Detroit Pistons
Expected total
214
points
Projected score: 108 – 106
Favorite wins
69%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✗
Pre-game
Season form
Cleveland Cavalie… #852-30 · 0.634
Detroit Pistons #360-22 · 0.732
Head coaches
Cleveland Cavaliers
Detroit Pistons
Players to watch
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Losses | 3 | Detroit Pistons |
| First half winner | 5/6 | Detroit Pistons |
| First half loser | 4/5 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| First quarter winner | 4/5 | Detroit Pistons |
| First quarter loser | 5/6 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 109 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 106 | Detroit Pistons |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 218 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 209 | Detroit Pistons |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| First half winner | 4/5 | Detroit Pistons |
| First half loser | 4/5 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| First quarter winner | 5/6 | Detroit Pistons |
| First quarter loser | 5/6 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 112 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 107 | Detroit Pistons |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 219 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 25 | 27 |
| Period2 | 26 | 27 |
| Period3 | 19 | 30 |
| Period4 | 24 | 31 |
Box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden G | 37 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 6/13 | 3/8 | -5 | |
| Evan Mobley F | 36 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 6/14 | 2/5 | -24 | |
| Donovan Mitchell G | 37 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 6/20 | 2/6 | -25 | |
| Jarrett Allen C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 5/6 | 0/0 | -5 | |
| Dean Wade FC | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 | -16 | |
| Sam Merrill G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3/6 | 2/5 | -10 | |
| Max Strus GF | 30 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2/9 | 2/7 | -16 | |
| Jaylon Tyson F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| NaeQwan Tomlin F | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Thomas Bryant CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Keon Ellis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Craig Porter G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Dennis Schröder G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0/4 | 0/1 | -4 | |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham G | 42 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 7/19 | 5/10 | +13 | |
| Jalen Duren C | 27 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 7/10 | 0/0 | +9 | |
| Daniss Jenkins G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 5/11 | 3/7 | +12 | |
| Ausar Thompson GF | 24 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4/6 | 0/1 | +12 | |
| Tobias Harris F | 25 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2/7 | 0/2 | +6 | |
| Paul Reed F | 16 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 7/9 | 1/1 | +8 | |
| Duncan Robinson F | 20 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4/7 | 4/7 | +3 | |
| Marcus Sasser G | 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 | 1/2 | +27 | |
| Caris LeVert G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3/7 | 2/5 | +12 | |
| Tolu Smith FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Ron Holland F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +2 | |
| Isaiah Stewart FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | +2 | |
| Chaz Lanier G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -1 | |