Detroit Pistons
ELO 166894 : 125
Cleveland Cavaliers
ELO 1628Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
82%
Detroit Pistons
18%
Cleveland Cavaliers
Expected total
214
points
Projected score: 109 – 105
Favorite wins
83%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Detroit Pistons #360-22 · 0.732
Cleveland Cavalie… #852-30 · 0.634
Head coaches
Detroit Pistons
Cleveland Cavaliers
Players to watch
G · Cleveland Cav…
Last: 30p · 8r · 6a · rating 7.7
G · Detroit Pisto…
Last: 21p · 2r · 8a · rating 7.0
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 6/7 | Detroit Pistons |
| First half loser | 5/6 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| First quarter winner | 5/6 | Detroit Pistons |
| First quarter loser | 6/7 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 107 | Detroit Pistons |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 108 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 208 | Detroit Pistons |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 216 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 5/6 | Detroit Pistons |
| First half loser | 5/6 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| First quarter winner | 6/7 | Detroit Pistons |
| First quarter loser | 6/7 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 108 | Detroit Pistons |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 111 | Cleveland Cavalie… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 220 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 22 | 31 |
| Period2 | 25 | 33 |
| Period3 | 26 | 35 |
| Period4 | 21 | 26 |
Box score
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Daniss Jenkins G | 34 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4/12 | 2/7 | -15 |
|
Cade Cunningham G | 37 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 5/16 | 0/7 | -32 |
 |
Jalen Duren C | 26 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3/7 | 0/0 | -18 |
 |
Ausar Thompson GF | 29 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2/7 | 1/2 | -14 |
 |
Tobias Harris F | 23 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0/6 | 0/2 | -23 |
 |
Duncan Robinson F | 22 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4/7 | 3/5 | -20 |
 |
Caris LeVert G | 17 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3/5 | 2/4 | -14 |
 |
Marcus Sasser G | 23 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3/12 | 3/9 | -16 |
 |
Tolu Smith FC | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | +4 |
 |
Paul Reed F | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2/5 | 0/0 | -7 |
 |
Isaiah Stewart FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | -8 |
 |
Ron Holland F | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1/3 | 1/2 | +4 |
 |
Chaz Lanier G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/1 | +4 |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Donovan Mitchell G | 31 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 10/22 | 2/6 | +17 |
 |
Jarrett Allen C | 25 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 8/14 | 0/0 | +9 |
 |
Evan Mobley F | 36 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 7/10 | 1/4 | +31 |
 |
Max Strus GF | 28 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3/7 | 1/5 | +11 |
|
James Harden G | 36 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 2/10 | 0/6 | +31 |
 |
Sam Merrill G | 25 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 7/10 | 5/8 | +22 |
 |
Dean Wade FC | 21 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2/2 | 1/1 | +17 |
 |
Keon Ellis G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | +1 |
 |
Dennis Schröder G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +12 |
 |
Craig Porter G | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
NaeQwan Tomlin F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Thomas Bryant CF | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0/4 | 0/2 | +1 |
 |
Jaylon Tyson F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | +1 |