Surne Bilbao Basket
ELO 154888 : 82
Real Madrid
ELO 1718Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
37%
Surne Bilbao Basket
63%
Real Madrid
Expected total
176
points
Projected score: 87 – 89
Favorite wins
74%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Surne Bilbao Bask… #719-15 · 0.559
Real Madrid #126-8 · 0.765
Head coaches
Real Madrid
Players to watch
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 5/7 | Real Madrid |
| First half loser | 5/6 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| First quarter winner | 6/7 | Real Madrid |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 84 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 96 | Real Madrid |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 166 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 184 | Real Madrid |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First quarter winner | 4/5 | Real Madrid |
| First quarter loser | 4/5 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 77 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 87 | Real Madrid |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 164 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Surne Bilbao Basket | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 24 | 22 |
| Period2 | 16 | 22 |
| Period3 | 20 | 22 |
| Period4 | 28 | 16 |
Box score
Surne Bilbao Basket
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Tryggvi Hlinason C | 29 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 11/13 | 0/0 | +11 |
 |
Darrun Hilliard F | 28 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 6/9 | 4/7 | +15 |
 |
Luke Petrasek F | 15 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2/6 | 0/3 | +9 |
 |
Margiris Normantas G | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | +3 |
 |
Harald Frey G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/1 | +9 |
 |
Martin Krampelj F | 19 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 4/10 | 1/5 | -3 |
 |
Melwin Pantzar G | 26 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3/7 | 1/3 | +1 |
 |
Justin Jaworski G | 24 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4/11 | 1/5 | -1 |
 |
Stefan Lazarević F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | +1 |
 |
Amar Sylla F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 |
 |
Aleix Font F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -8 |
 |
Bassala Bagayoko F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -7 |
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Trey Lyles FC | 26 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 5/12 | 2/7 | +6 |
 |
Facundo Campazzo G | 23 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 2/6 | 2/6 | -6 |
 |
Izan Almansa F | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3/5 | 0/0 | -18 |
 |
Sergio Llull G | 23 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2/8 | 1/5 | 0 |
 |
Gabriele Procida G | 17 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0/3 | 0/3 | +8 |
 |
Theo Maledon G | 17 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 4/6 | 3/5 | 0 |
 |
Gabriel Alejandro Deck F | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 6/10 | 0/2 | -12 |
 |
Alberto Abalde GF | 20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | -5 |
 |
Andres Feliz G | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2/5 | 1/2 | -2 |
 |
David Kramer GF | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1/4 | 0/0 | -1 |
 |
Gunars Grinvalds F | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 |
 |
Egor Amosov F | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 |