Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
71%
BAXI Manresa
29%
Basket Zaragoza
Expected total
179
points
Projected score: 91 – 88
Favorite wins
73%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
BAXI Manresa #1016-18 · 0.471
Basket Zaragoza #1510-24 · 0.294
Players to watch
G · Basket Zarago…
Last: 16p · 10r · 2a · rating 7.7
G · BAXI Manresa
Last: 21p · 1r · 4a · rating 8.5
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First quarter loser | 5/7 | Basket Zaragoza |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 87 | both |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 177 | BAXI Manresa |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 183 | Basket Zaragoza |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | BAXI Manresa |
| First half winner | 4/5 | BAXI Manresa |
| First half loser | 4/5 | Basket Zaragoza |
| First quarter winner | 4/5 | BAXI Manresa |
| First quarter loser | 4/5 | Basket Zaragoza |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 87 | BAXI Manresa |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 84 | Basket Zaragoza |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 171 | both |
Score by period
| Period | BAXI Manresa | Basket Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 23 | 21 |
| Period2 | 23 | 20 |
| Period3 | 25 | 17 |
| Period4 | 30 | 25 |
Box score
BAXI Manresa
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Reyes F | 24 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5/9 | 4/8 | +12 | |
| Retin Obasohan G | 21 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 6/9 | 0/1 | +4 | |
| Pierre Oriola FC | 16 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 3/5 | 0/0 | +15 | |
| Ferran Bassas G | 23 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 2/4 | 2/4 | +15 | |
| Gustav Knudsen F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2/5 | 1/2 | +10 | |
| Louis Olinde F | 9 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5/6 | 1/1 | +9 | |
| Agustin Ubal Agostini G | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1/4 | 0/1 | +5 | |
| Eli Brooks G | 18 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3/5 | 2/3 | +14 | |
| Marcis Steinbergs F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3/9 | 0/4 | +13 | |
| Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu C | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -11 | |
| Daniel Perez G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/5 | 1/3 | +4 | |
| David Duke Jr. G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1/6 | 1/3 | 0 | |
Basket Zaragoza
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Spissu G | 22 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5/10 | 2/4 | -19 | |
| Santiago Yusta F | 23 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5/14 | 0/5 | -2 | |
| Devin Robinson F | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 6/9 | 0/1 | -9 | |
| Bojan Dubljevic C | 23 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | -18 | |
| Justin Wright-Foreman G | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2/6 | 0/2 | -8 | |
| Trae Bell-Haynes G | 23 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4/6 | 1/1 | -7 | |
| Olaseni Gabe C | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3/4 | 0/0 | +3 | |
| Joaquín Rodríguez G | 26 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2/8 | 0/3 | -14 | |
| Jaime Fernandez F | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | -7 | |
| Miguel Gonzalez F | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -9 | |
| Youssouf Traore C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Isaiah Washington G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0 | |