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Liga ACB · Liga ACB 25/26 · Saturday, 16 May 2026 23:00 UTC · finished

BAXI Manresa

ELO 1547
101 : 83

Basket Zaragoza

ELO 1353

Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)

71%
BAXI Manresa
Pick: BAXI Manresa · High
29%
Basket Zaragoza
Expected total
179
points
Projected score: 9188
Favorite wins
73%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
P(total > 205)
4%
P(total > 215)
2%
P(total > 225)
1%

Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.

Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215:

Pre-game

Season form
BAXI Manresa #1016-18 · 0.471
Basket Zaragoza #1510-24 · 0.294
Venue
cap 5000
Pavello Nou Congost
Manresa · Spain

Players to watch

Joaquín Rodríguez
G · Basket Zarago…
Last: 16p · 10r · 2a · rating 7.7
Ferran Bassas
G · BAXI Manresa
Last: 21p · 1r · 4a · rating 8.5

Form & trends

MetricValueTeam
First quarter loser 5/7 Basket Zaragoza
Scored points average (Last 10) 87 both
Game points average (Last 10) 177 BAXI Manresa
Game points average (Last 10) 183 Basket Zaragoza

Head-to-head (last 10)

MetricValueTeam
Wins 3 BAXI Manresa
First half winner 4/5 BAXI Manresa
First half loser 4/5 Basket Zaragoza
First quarter winner 4/5 BAXI Manresa
First quarter loser 4/5 Basket Zaragoza
Scored points average (Last 10) 87 BAXI Manresa
Scored points average (Last 10) 84 Basket Zaragoza
Game points average (Last 10) 171 both

Score by period

PeriodBAXI ManresaBasket Zaragoza
Period1 23 21
Period2 23 20
Period3 25 17
Period4 30 25

Box score

BAXI Manresa

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Alexis Reyes F 24 17 6 3 5/9 4/8 +12
Retin Obasohan G 21 15 1 3 6/9 0/1 +4
Pierre Oriola FC 16 12 6 1 3/5 0/0 +15
Ferran Bassas G 23 8 2 9 2/4 2/4 +15
Gustav Knudsen F 21 6 4 1 2/5 1/2 +10
Louis Olinde F 9 11 4 0 5/6 1/1 +9
Agustin Ubal Agostini G 17 9 4 0 1/4 0/1 +5
Eli Brooks G 18 8 2 4 3/5 2/3 +14
Marcis Steinbergs F 19 6 2 0 3/9 0/4 +13
Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu C 12 3 2 0 0/0 0/0 -11
Daniel Perez G 14 3 1 3 1/5 1/3 +4
David Duke Jr. G 5 3 0 1 1/6 1/3 0

Basket Zaragoza

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Marco Spissu G 22 16 4 3 5/10 2/4 -19
Santiago Yusta F 23 14 6 0 5/14 0/5 -2
Devin Robinson F 24 13 3 0 6/9 0/1 -9
Bojan Dubljevic C 23 6 8 2 1/2 0/0 -18
Justin Wright-Foreman G 12 4 0 0 2/6 0/2 -8
Trae Bell-Haynes G 23 10 0 3 4/6 1/1 -7
Olaseni Gabe C 10 7 1 0 3/4 0/0 +3
Joaquín Rodríguez G 26 7 2 2 2/8 0/3 -14
Jaime Fernandez F 11 5 1 0 2/2 1/1 -7
Miguel Gonzalez F 15 1 2 1 0/1 0/0 -9
Youssouf Traore C 4 0 1 0 0/1 0/0 0
Isaiah Washington G 6 0 1 0 0/3 0/0 0