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Liga ACB · Liga ACB 25/26 · Sunday, 17 May 2026 14:30 UTC · finished

Real Madrid

ELO 1718
81 : 89

Joventut Badalona

ELO 1656

Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)

78%
Real Madrid
Pick: Real Madrid · Very High
22%
Joventut Badalona
Expected total
177
points
Projected score: 9284
Favorite wins
81%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
P(total > 205)
4%
P(total > 215)
2%
P(total > 225)
1%

Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.

Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215:

Pre-game

Season form
Real Madrid #126-8 · 0.765
Joventut Badalona #622-12 · 0.647
Head coaches
Sergio Scariolo
Real Madrid
Daniel Miret
Joventut Badalona
Venue
cap 14000
Movistar Arena
Madrid · Spain

Players to watch

Ricky Rubio
G · Joventut Bada…
Last: 23p · 4r · 7a · rating 8.6
Trey Lyles
FC · Real Madrid
Last: 19p · 8r · 2a · rating 7.7

Form & trends

MetricValueTeam
First half winner 4/5 Real Madrid
First quarter winner 6/8 Real Madrid
First quarter loser 4/5 Joventut Badalona
Scored points average (Last 10) 93 Real Madrid
Scored points average (Last 10) 81 Joventut Badalona
Game points average (Last 10) 183 Real Madrid
Game points average (Last 10) 162 Joventut Badalona

Head-to-head (last 10)

MetricValueTeam
First half winner 6/7 Real Madrid
First half loser 6/7 Joventut Badalona
First quarter winner 8/10 Real Madrid
First quarter loser 8/10 Joventut Badalona
Scored points average (Last 10) 89 Real Madrid
Scored points average (Last 10) 78 Joventut Badalona
Game points average (Last 10) 167 both

Score by period

PeriodReal MadridJoventut Badalona
Period1 20 15
Period2 20 23
Period3 22 21
Period4 19 30

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Mario Hezonja F 23 13 5 1 5/12 1/6 -9
Chuma Okeke F 21 10 4 1 4/7 2/5 -4
Usman Garuba FC 22 6 3 0 2/2 0/0 -7
Facundo Campazzo G 23 2 3 5 1/4 0/3 -7
Alberto Abalde GF 7 0 2 1 0/2 0/2 +2
Gabriele Procida G 16 12 2 0 5/10 2/5 +1
Theo Maledon G 19 11 0 5 4/7 0/2 -5
Andres Feliz G 17 9 4 2 3/10 1/3 +1
Izan Almansa F 18 7 3 0 3/4 0/0 -1
Sergio Llull G 12 6 1 2 2/8 2/7 -5
David Kramer GF 5 5 2 0 2/3 1/2 -5
Gabriel Alejandro Deck F 17 0 6 1 0/3 0/3 -1

Joventut Badalona

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Ricky Rubio G 24 21 2 4 4/6 2/3 +8
Cameron Hunt G 27 14 1 0 5/10 3/4 +9
Jabari Parker F 26 12 9 1 4/8 0/3 +18
Michael Ruzic G 23 12 3 1 5/7 1/1 -2
Adam Hanga G 24 2 4 5 1/3 0/2 +6
Ludde Hakanson G 15 9 0 0 3/6 3/5 +3
Henri Drell F 14 7 3 0 2/5 0/2 -10
Simon Birgander F 17 5 6 3 2/5 0/0 +10
Guillem Vives G 9 5 0 0 1/2 1/2 -1
Yannick Kraag G 21 2 3 3 1/4 0/3 -1
Miguel Allen G 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0
Adrian De La Torre G 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0