Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
78%
Real Madrid
22%
Joventut Badalona
Expected total
177
points
Projected score: 92 – 84
Favorite wins
81%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Real Madrid #126-8 · 0.765
Joventut Badalona #622-12 · 0.647
Head coaches
Real Madrid
Joventut Badalona
Players to watch
G · Joventut Bada…
Last: 23p · 4r · 7a · rating 8.6
FC · Real Madrid
Last: 19p · 8r · 2a · rating 7.7
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 4/5 | Real Madrid |
| First quarter winner | 6/8 | Real Madrid |
| First quarter loser | 4/5 | Joventut Badalona |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 93 | Real Madrid |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 81 | Joventut Badalona |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 183 | Real Madrid |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 162 | Joventut Badalona |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 6/7 | Real Madrid |
| First half loser | 6/7 | Joventut Badalona |
| First quarter winner | 8/10 | Real Madrid |
| First quarter loser | 8/10 | Joventut Badalona |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 89 | Real Madrid |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 78 | Joventut Badalona |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 167 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Real Madrid | Joventut Badalona |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 20 | 15 |
| Period2 | 20 | 23 |
| Period3 | 22 | 21 |
| Period4 | 19 | 30 |
Box score
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hezonja F | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5/12 | 1/6 | -9 | |
| Chuma Okeke F | 21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4/7 | 2/5 | -4 | |
| Usman Garuba FC | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | -7 | |
| Facundo Campazzo G | 23 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1/4 | 0/3 | -7 | |
| Alberto Abalde GF | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 | +2 | |
| Gabriele Procida G | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5/10 | 2/5 | +1 | |
| Theo Maledon G | 19 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 4/7 | 0/2 | -5 | |
| Andres Feliz G | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3/10 | 1/3 | +1 | |
| Izan Almansa F | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3/4 | 0/0 | -1 | |
| Sergio Llull G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2/8 | 2/7 | -5 | |
| David Kramer GF | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2/3 | 1/2 | -5 | |
| Gabriel Alejandro Deck F | 17 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0/3 | 0/3 | -1 | |
Joventut Badalona
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Rubio G | 24 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 4/6 | 2/3 | +8 | |
| Cameron Hunt G | 27 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5/10 | 3/4 | +9 | |
| Jabari Parker F | 26 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 4/8 | 0/3 | +18 | |
| Michael Ruzic G | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5/7 | 1/1 | -2 | |
| Adam Hanga G | 24 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1/3 | 0/2 | +6 | |
| Ludde Hakanson G | 15 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3/6 | 3/5 | +3 | |
| Henri Drell F | 14 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2/5 | 0/2 | -10 | |
| Simon Birgander F | 17 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2/5 | 0/0 | +10 | |
| Guillem Vives G | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 | -1 | |
| Yannick Kraag G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1/4 | 0/3 | -1 | |
| Miguel Allen G | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Adrian De La Torre G | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |