Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
80%
Valencia Basket
20%
Surne Bilbao Basket
Expected total
177
points
Projected score: 91 – 86
Favorite wins
78%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Valencia Basket #225-9 · 0.735
Surne Bilbao Bask… #719-15 · 0.559
Head coaches
Valencia Basket
Players to watch
F · Surne Bilbao …
Last: 21p · 5r · 6a · rating 8.7
G · Valencia Bask…
Last: 20p · 5r · 2a · rating 8.3
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 4/5 | Valencia Basket |
| First half loser | 6/7 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| First quarter winner | 5/5 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 87 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 83 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 174 | Valencia Basket |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 165 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 88 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 79 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 167 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Valencia Basket | Surne Bilbao Basket |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 21 | 9 |
| Period2 | 26 | 20 |
| Period3 | 15 | 31 |
| Period4 | 26 | 23 |
Box score
Valencia Basket
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron Taylor F | 26 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 7/15 | 2/7 | +12 | |
| Nate Reuvers F | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5/8 | 2/5 | -11 | |
| Brancou Badio G | 26 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4/7 | 2/4 | -11 | |
| Jaime Pradilla FC | 23 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3/8 | 0/2 | +1 | |
| Sergio De Larrea G | 24 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1/6 | 0/2 | -10 | |
| Braxton Key F | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 6/8 | 1/1 | +6 | |
| Omari Moore G | 17 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4/7 | 2/4 | +13 | |
| Darius Thompson G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2/8 | 1/5 | -1 | |
| Matt Costello CF | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1/6 | 1/5 | -1 | |
| Alvaro Cardenas G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +8 | |
| Yankuba Sima Fatty C | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | +15 | |
| Isaac Nogues G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +4 | |
Surne Bilbao Basket
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tryggvi Hlinason C | 21 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 3/5 | 0/0 | +27 | |
| Luke Petrasek F | 21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3/8 | 1/5 | +9 | |
| Harald Frey G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 | 0/1 | -19 | |
| Darrun Hilliard F | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1/8 | 0/2 | +2 | |
| Margiris Normantas G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2/5 | 1/4 | -2 | |
| Justin Jaworski G | 30 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 10/15 | 8/11 | +6 | |
| Melwin Pantzar G | 27 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4/7 | 2/2 | +12 | |
| Martin Krampelj F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2/8 | 0/3 | -11 | |
| Bassala Bagayoko F | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -22 | |
| Amar Sylla F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -4 | |
| Aleix Font F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -9 | |
| Stefan Lazarević F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -14 | |