Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
72%
Surne Bilbao Basket
28%
Bàsquet Girona
Expected total
170
points
Projected score: 86 – 84
Favorite wins
61%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Surne Bilbao Bask… #719-15 · 0.559
Bàsquet Girona #1214-20 · 0.412
Players to watch
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Losses | 3 | Bàsquet Girona |
| First half loser | 7/8 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| First half loser | 7/9 | Bàsquet Girona |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 82 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 85 | Bàsquet Girona |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 166 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 174 | Bàsquet Girona |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 4/5 | Bàsquet Girona |
| First half loser | 4/5 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| First quarter winner | 5/6 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| First quarter loser | 5/6 | Bàsquet Girona |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 82 | Surne Bilbao Bask… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 84 | Bàsquet Girona |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 166 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Surne Bilbao Basket | Bàsquet Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 25 | 23 |
| Period2 | 17 | 18 |
| Period3 | 22 | 26 |
| Period4 | 22 | 13 |
Box score
Surne Bilbao Basket
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrun Hilliard F | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 5/8 | 4/6 | ||
| Luke Petrasek F | 25 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2/9 | 2/8 | ||
| Margiris Normantas G | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3/8 | 1/5 | ||
| Tryggvi Hlinason C | 28 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | ||
| Harald Frey G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1/4 | 1/4 | ||
| Melwin Pantzar G | 25 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 5/8 | 1/4 | ||
| Aleix Font F | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4/6 | 2/4 | ||
| Justin Jaworski G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2/7 | 1/6 | ||
| Martin Krampelj F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0/3 | 0/2 | ||
| Bassala Bagayoko F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | ||
Bàsquet Girona
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martinas Geben C | 27 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10/16 | 3/5 | ||
| Derek Needham G | 27 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 5/14 | 2/10 | ||
| Otis Livingston G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2/7 | 2/4 | ||
| Mindaugas Susinskas F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2/4 | 2/3 | ||
| Pep Busquets G | 19 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0/6 | 0/3 | ||
| Cameron Hildreth G | 16 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4/5 | 0/0 | ||
| Juan Fernandez C | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2/8 | 0/3 | ||
| Mark Hughes G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1/4 | 1/3 | ||
| Nikola Marić F | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | ||
| Jose Vildoza G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/4 | 0/3 | ||
| K Bruno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | ||