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Liga ACB · Liga ACB 25/26 · Friday, 29 May 2026 20:00 UTC · finished

BAXI Manresa

ELO 1547
94 : 87

Real Madrid

ELO 1718

Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)

32%
BAXI Manresa
Pick: Real Madrid · High
68%
Real Madrid
Expected total
185
points
Projected score: 9491
Favorite wins
78%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
P(total > 205)
4%
P(total > 215)
2%
P(total > 225)
1%

Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.

Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215:

Pre-game

Season form
BAXI Manresa #1016-18 · 0.471
Real Madrid #126-8 · 0.765
Head coaches
Sergio Scariolo
Real Madrid
Venue
cap 5000
Pavello Nou Congost
Manresa · Spain

Players to watch

David Duke Jr.
G · BAXI Manresa
Last: 21p · 4r · 0a · rating 7.7

Form & trends

MetricValueTeam
Wins 3 BAXI Manresa
First half winner 7/8 Real Madrid
First quarter winner 6/8 Real Madrid
First quarter loser 4/5 BAXI Manresa
Scored points average (Last 10) 89 BAXI Manresa
Scored points average (Last 10) 86 Real Madrid
Game points average (Last 10) 177 BAXI Manresa
Game points average (Last 10) 174 Real Madrid

Head-to-head (last 10)

MetricValueTeam
Wins 4 Real Madrid
First half winner 9/10 Real Madrid
First half loser 9/10 BAXI Manresa
Scored points average (Last 10) 75 BAXI Manresa
Scored points average (Last 10) 87 Real Madrid
Game points average (Last 10) 163 both

Score by period

PeriodBAXI ManresaReal Madrid
Period1 26 19
Period2 30 29
Period3 18 25
Period4 20 14

Box score

BAXI Manresa

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Ferran Bassas G 24 14 2 3 4/12 3/9 +4
Alexis Reyes F 22 10 4 0 3/8 2/7 +10
Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu C 14 8 3 1 3/3 0/0 +3
Eli Brooks G 18 2 1 4 1/5 0/2 -5
Gustav Knudsen F 18 0 7 0 0/3 0/3 +11
Agustin Ubal Agostini G 15 16 3 0 5/6 1/2 +1
Retin Obasohan G 19 14 4 1 6/14 1/4 +15
Pierre Oriola FC 23 13 12 2 5/8 0/1 -1
Daniel Perez G 14 7 0 8 3/6 1/4 -3
Marcis Steinbergs F 18 5 2 0 2/8 1/6 +1
David Duke Jr. G 12 5 3 1 2/8 0/1 -6
Pauly Paulicap F 3 0 1 0 0/0 0/0 +5

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Mario Hezonja F 30 32 6 0 12/29 4/14 +5
Alberto Abalde GF 25 9 5 3 3/6 1/2 -1
Omer Faruk Yurtseven C 13 8 2 0 4/4 0/0 -4
Theo Maledon G 23 2 8 2 1/3 0/1 +5
Gabriel Alejandro Deck F 27 2 6 1 1/7 0/2 +6
Izan Almansa F 13 12 4 1 4/4 0/0 +3
David Kramer GF 13 10 2 0 3/7 2/4 -9
Andres Feliz G 21 6 2 6 2/3 0/0 -5
Sergio Llull G 19 4 1 1 1/6 0/4 -19
Chuma Okeke F 16 2 1 0 1/3 0/2 -16
Fabian Kayser G 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0