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Liga ACB · Liga ACB 25/26 · Friday, 29 May 2026 22:30 UTC · finished

Río Breogán

ELO 1507
94 : 95

Basket Zaragoza

ELO 1353

Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)

75%
Río Breogán
Pick: Río Breogán · Very High
25%
Basket Zaragoza
Expected total
183
points
Projected score: 9489
Favorite wins
81%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
P(total > 205)
4%
P(total > 215)
2%
P(total > 225)
1%

Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.

Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215:

Pre-game

Season form
Río Breogán #1115-19 · 0.441
Basket Zaragoza #1510-24 · 0.294
Venue
cap 5310
Pazo dos Deportes
Lugo · Spain

Players to watch

Olaseni Gabe
C · Basket Zarago…
Last: 25p · 7r · 0a · rating 7.7

Form & trends

MetricValueTeam
Losses 5 Basket Zaragoza
First half loser 4/5 Basket Zaragoza
First quarter loser 5/6 Basket Zaragoza
Scored points average (Last 10) 95 Río Breogán
Scored points average (Last 10) 86 Basket Zaragoza
Game points average (Last 10) 188 Río Breogán
Game points average (Last 10) 180 Basket Zaragoza

Head-to-head (last 10)

MetricValueTeam
Scored points average (Last 10) 77 Río Breogán
Scored points average (Last 10) 84 Basket Zaragoza
Game points average (Last 10) 161 both

Score by period

PeriodRío BreogánBasket Zaragoza
Period1 26 24
Period2 21 20
Period3 23 23
Period4 24 28

Box score

Río Breogán

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
DeWayne Russell G 20 19 3 6 8/14 3/4 +11
Dragan Apic F 18 8 3 0 3/3 0/0 -7
Aleksandar Aranitovic G 26 6 15 0 2/8 2/6 -4
Mihajlo Andric F 19 1 1 2 0/4 0/3 -1
Arturs Kurucs G 16 0 1 0 0/3 0/1 -4
Francisco Alonso G 29 33 3 2 9/15 6/9 +6
Bakary Dibba F 18 10 3 0 3/7 2/5 +1
Dominik Mavra G 20 9 0 5 4/7 1/2 -11
Danko Branković C 21 8 4 0 4/4 0/0 +6
Jordan Walker G 10 0 1 2 0/2 0/2 0
Erik Quintela G 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0
Ivan Cruz F 2 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 -2

Basket Zaragoza

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Trae Bell-Haynes G 24 15 2 4 5/7 2/2 -2
Santiago Yusta F 29 14 1 1 6/11 2/6 +1
Devin Robinson F 31 12 10 1 5/11 0/1 +1
Olaseni Gabe C 24 10 4 0 4/6 0/0 -2
Joaquín Rodríguez G 12 3 5 4 1/4 1/3 -3
Marco Spissu G 26 20 3 9 4/7 3/5 +2
Justin Wright-Foreman G 18 13 2 1 5/10 2/4 +5
Bojan Dubljevic C 14 3 5 4 1/3 0/1 0
Jaime Fernandez F 6 3 1 0 1/2 1/1 -4
Miguel Gonzalez F 15 2 4 0 1/3 0/2 +7
D.J. Stephens F 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0
Youssouf Traore C 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0