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Lega A Basket · Serie A 25/26 · Saturday, 16 May 2026 20:30 UTC · finished

EA7 Emporio Armani Milano

ELO 1718
96 : 84

UNAhotels Reggio Emilia

ELO 1559

Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)

63%
EA7 Emporio Armani Milano
Pick: EA7 Emporio Armani Milano · Medium
37%
UNAhotels Reggio Emilia
Expected total
171
points
Projected score: 8586
Favorite wins
57%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
P(total > 205)
4%
P(total > 215)
2%
P(total > 225)
1%

Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.

Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215:

Pre-game

Season form
EA7 Emporio Arman… #320-8 · 0.714
UNAhotels Reggio … #615-13 · 0.536
Head coaches
Ettore Messina
EA7 Emporio Armani Mi…
Dimitris Priftis
UNAhotels Reggio Emil…
Venue
cap 12800
Unipol Forum
Milan · Italy

Players to watch

Jaylen Barford
G · UNAhotels Reg…
Last: 20p · 4r · 4a · rating 7.4

Form & trends

MetricValueTeam
Scored points average (Last 10) 89 EA7 Emporio Arman…
Scored points average (Last 10) 87 UNAhotels Reggio …
Game points average (Last 10) 179 EA7 Emporio Arman…
Game points average (Last 10) 167 UNAhotels Reggio …

Head-to-head (last 10)

MetricValueTeam
First half winner 5/6 EA7 Emporio Arman…
First half loser 5/6 UNAhotels Reggio …
Scored points average (Last 10) 85 EA7 Emporio Arman…
Scored points average (Last 10) 72 UNAhotels Reggio …
Game points average (Last 10) 157 both

Score by period

PeriodEA7 Emporio Armani MilanoUNAhotels Reggio Emilia
Period1 31 16
Period2 26 24
Period3 18 24
Period4 21 20

Box score

EA7 Emporio Armani Milano

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Shavon Shields F 25 19 2 4 7/13 2/6
Zach LeDay FC 22 13 3 0 3/5 0/2
Josh Nebo C 27 9 10 0 4/5 0/0
Armoni Brooks G 23 7 4 0 3/9 1/6
Quinn Ellis G 16 0 3 2 0/1 0/0
Ousmane Diop FC 13 14 1 0 3/3 0/0
Marko Guduric GF 20 12 1 6 3/5 1/1
Leandro Bolmaro GF 22 10 3 3 4/8 0/3
Nico Mannion G 14 7 2 2 2/3 1/1
Giampaolo Ricci F 18 5 2 0 2/4 1/3

UNAhotels Reggio Emilia

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Jaylen Barford G 27 21 1 1 8/12 3/5
Troy Caupain G 36 20 3 3 7/18 2/8
Luca Severini F 21 6 4 3 2/5 2/4
Tomas Woldetensae G 23 6 3 1 2/4 2/4
Bryson Williams F 19 2 2 2 1/3 0/0
Jaime Echenique C 21 13 7 2 6/12 0/0
Riccardo Rossato G 23 11 1 0 3/6 3/6
Lorenzo Uglietti G 17 5 5 1 1/6 1/2
Michele Vitali G 6 0 0 1 0/0 0/0
JT Thor F 7 0 0 0 0/2 0/2