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Lega A Basket · Serie A 25/26 · Saturday, 16 May 2026 22:30 UTC · finished

Germani Brescia

ELO 1569
90 : 92

Pallacanestro Trieste

ELO 1439

Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)

83%
Germani Brescia
Pick: Germani Brescia · Very High
17%
Pallacanestro Trieste
Expected total
170
points
Projected score: 8882
Favorite wins
80%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
P(total > 205)
4%
P(total > 215)
2%
P(total > 225)
1%

Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.

Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215:

Pre-game

Season form
Germani Brescia #221-7 · 0.750
Pallacanestro Tri… #713-15 · 0.464
Head coaches
Matteo Cotelli
Germani Brescia
Israel González
Pallacanestro Trieste
Venue
cap 5200
PalaLeonessa
Brescia · Italy

Players to watch

Demetre Rivers
G · Germani Bresc…
Last: 22p · 3r · 2a · rating 8.0

Form & trends

MetricValueTeam
Losses 4 Pallacanestro Tri…
First half loser 6/8 Pallacanestro Tri…
First quarter loser 4/5 Pallacanestro Tri…
Scored points average (Last 10) 88 Germani Brescia
Scored points average (Last 10) 83 Pallacanestro Tri…
Game points average (Last 10) 172 Germani Brescia
Game points average (Last 10) 168 Pallacanestro Tri…

Head-to-head (last 10)

MetricValueTeam
Wins 4 Germani Brescia
First half winner 4/5 Pallacanestro Tri…
First half loser 4/5 Germani Brescia
First quarter winner 5/7 Germani Brescia
First quarter loser 5/7 Pallacanestro Tri…
Scored points average (Last 10) 84 Germani Brescia
Scored points average (Last 10) 78 Pallacanestro Tri…
Game points average (Last 10) 162 both

Score by period

PeriodGermani BresciaPallacanestro Trieste
Period1 24 28
Period2 27 31
Period3 24 13
Period4 15 20

Box score

Germani Brescia

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Amedeo Della Valle G 31 26 3 4 7/14 3/8
Maurice Ndour F 31 12 5 1 6/11 0/0
Demetre Rivers G 21 11 3 0 5/6 1/2
Nikola Ivanovic G 32 10 3 6 3/8 2/6
Miro Bilan C 27 9 9 5 3/9 0/1
Jason Burnell F 26 10 4 1 4/7 0/1
David Reginald Cournooh G 11 5 0 0 2/5 1/3
Jayden Nunn G 12 5 0 0 2/5 1/3
Joseph Mobio G 9 2 3 0 1/1 0/0

Pallacanestro Trieste

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Markel Brown G 29 22 2 5 6/9 2/4
Colbey Ross G 24 18 2 4 7/14 1/4
Josh Bannan F 25 11 6 0 5/7 1/2
Jahmi'us Ramsey G 27 9 1 0 3/8 0/4
Francesco Candussi C 24 2 3 0 1/6 0/5
Jarrod Uthoff F 25 16 6 1 7/11 2/6
Juan Toscano-Anderson F 23 14 6 1 6/6 2/2
Lodovico Deangeli G 8 0 1 1 0/1 0/0
Michele Ruzzier G 15 0 0 2 0/0 0/0