Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
77%
Real Madrid
23%
Kosner Baskonia
Expected total
182
points
Projected score: 94 – 88
Favorite wins
80%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Real Madrid #126-8 · 0.765
Kosner Baskonia #325-9 · 0.735
Head coaches
Real Madrid
Kosner Baskonia
Players to watch
G · Kosner Baskon…
Last: 18p · 4r · 5a · rating 8.5
F · Real Madrid
Last: 25p · 7r · 3a · rating 8.6
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | Kosner Baskonia |
| First half winner | 6/7 | Real Madrid |
| First quarter winner | 5/7 | Real Madrid |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 92 | both |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 185 | Real Madrid |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 178 | Kosner Baskonia |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 4/5 | Real Madrid |
| First half loser | 4/5 | Kosner Baskonia |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 92 | Real Madrid |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 89 | Kosner Baskonia |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 181 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Real Madrid | Kosner Baskonia |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 29 | 26 |
| Period2 | 17 | 16 |
| Period3 | 20 | 22 |
| Period4 | 17 | 24 |
Box score
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hezonja F | 26 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 9/18 | 0/6 | -5 | |
| Chuma Okeke F | 24 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5/8 | 3/5 | -11 | |
| Sergio Llull G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3/8 | 2/6 | -10 | |
| Facundo Campazzo G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | -9 | |
| Omer Faruk Yurtseven C | 19 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| David Kramer GF | 16 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5/8 | 3/5 | +3 | |
| Trey Lyles FC | 20 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2/5 | 1/2 | +2 | |
| Izan Almansa F | 17 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | -1 | |
| Theo Maledon G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/5 | 0/1 | +4 | |
| Alberto Abalde GF | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +5 | |
| Gabriele Procida G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | -3 | |
Kosner Baskonia
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Forrest G | 28 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 5/9 | 3/5 | +3 | |
| Gytis Radzevicius F | 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 | 2/3 | +19 | |
| Rodions Kurucs F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2/7 | 1/4 | 0 | |
| Rafa Villar G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +12 | |
| Jesse Edwards C | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +1 | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot GF | 27 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 7/15 | 2/8 | -7 | |
| Eugene Omoruyi F | 23 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 6/10 | 2/4 | +8 | |
| Kobi Simmons G | 20 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4/8 | 0/2 | -9 | |
| Mamadi Diakite F | 22 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | +10 | |
| Matteo Spagnolo G | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | -3 | |
| Tadas Sedekerskis F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/3 | 0/1 | -5 | |
| Clement Frisch F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -4 | |