Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
60%
Valencia Basket
40%
Real Madrid
Expected total
182
points
Projected score: 92 – 90
Favorite wins
62%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Valencia Basket #225-13 · 0.658
Real Madrid #324-14 · 0.632
Head coaches
Valencia Basket
Real Madrid
Players to watch
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Losses | 3 | Real Madrid |
| First half winner | 5/6 | Valencia Basket |
| First half winner | 5/5 | Real Madrid |
| First quarter winner | 6/6 | Valencia Basket |
| First quarter winner | 4/5 | Real Madrid |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 88 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 92 | Real Madrid |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 175 | Valencia Basket |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 181 | Real Madrid |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | Real Madrid |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 83 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 90 | Real Madrid |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 173 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Valencia Basket | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 28 | 26 |
| Period2 | 28 | 36 |
| Period3 | 17 | 24 |
| Period4 | 17 | 19 |
Box score
Valencia Basket
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Pradilla FC | 23 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6/11 | 2/5 | ||
| Jean Claudio Montero G | 31 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 5/16 | 2/8 | ||
| Nate Reuvers F | 19 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 6/6 | 1/1 | ||
| Kameron Taylor F | 31 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 5/9 | 1/4 | ||
| Brancou Badio G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3/9 | 0/3 | ||
| Braxton Key F | 25 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 6/9 | 1/2 | ||
| Neal Sako C | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3/3 | 0/0 | ||
| Matt Costello CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/1 | ||
| Darius Thompson G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/3 | ||
| Sergio De Larrea G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | ||
| Omari Moore G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | ||
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hezonja F | 31 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 8/14 | 3/6 | ||
| Facundo Campazzo G | 25 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 2/8 | 2/6 | ||
| Alberto Abalde GF | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2/5 | 1/3 | ||
| Chuma Okeke F | 17 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2/5 | 1/4 | ||
| Usman Garuba FC | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | ||
| Trey Lyles FC | 24 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 6/11 | 3/6 | ||
| Gabriel Alejandro Deck F | 22 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6/12 | 0/2 | ||
| Andres Feliz G | 20 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 5/11 | 3/4 | ||
| Theo Maledon G | 16 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3/7 | 1/2 | ||
| Sergio Llull G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | ||
| Gabriele Procida G | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | ||
| Izan Almansa F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | ||