Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
56%
Oklahoma City Thunder
44%
San Antonio Spurs
Expected total
229
points
Projected score: 115 – 114
Favorite wins
69%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Oklahoma City Thu… #164-18 · 0.780
San Antonio Spurs #262-20 · 0.756
Head coaches
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
Players to watch
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| First half winner | 6/8 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| First quarter winner | 7/8 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| First quarter winner | 4/5 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 118 | both |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 228 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 220 | San Antonio Spurs |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 116 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 110 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 227 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 27 | 27 |
| Period2 | 17 | 24 |
| Period3 | 29 | 29 |
| Period4 | 28 | 21 |
| Overtime | 14 | 21 |
Box score
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams GF | 37 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 11/25 | 1/3 | -3 | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander GF | 51 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 7/23 | 2/7 | -15 | |
| Chet Holmgren FC | 41 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2/7 | 2/4 | -7 | |
| Luguentz Dort G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2/6 | 1/5 | -6 | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein CF | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | +2 | |
| Alex Caruso G | 32 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 11/19 | 8/14 | 0 | |
| Cason Wallace G | 28 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3/6 | 2/5 | -9 | |
| Jared McCain G | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3/6 | 1/3 | +9 | |
| Ajay Mitchell G | 34 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2/5 | 0/1 | +7 | |
| Aaron Wiggins G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/3 | 0/3 | -7 | |
| Isaiah Joe G | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Jaylin Williams F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -6 | |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama FC | 49 | 41 | 24 | 3 | 14/25 | 1/2 | +16 | |
| Dylan Harper G | 47 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 8/20 | 1/7 | +14 | |
| Stephon Castle G | 49 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 5/14 | 1/6 | -1 | |
| Devin Vassell GF | 51 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5/12 | 3/9 | +3 | |
| Julian Champagnie G | 44 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4/12 | 3/11 | +8 | |
| Keldon Johnson FG | 22 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4/9 | 3/6 | +3 | |
| Carter Bryant F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 | +10 | |
| Harrison Barnes F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -9 | |
| Luke Kornet FC | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -9 | |