Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
56%
Oklahoma City Thunder
44%
San Antonio Spurs
Expected total
229
points
Projected score: 115 – 114
Favorite wins
69%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Oklahoma City Thu… #164-18 · 0.780
San Antonio Spurs #262-20 · 0.756
Head coaches
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
Players to watch
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | San Antonio Spurs |
| First quarter winner | 7/9 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 119 | both |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 228 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 223 | San Antonio Spurs |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 116 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 110 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 226 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 31 | 31 |
| Period2 | 31 | 20 |
| Period3 | 34 | 37 |
| Period4 | 26 | 25 |
Box score
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander GF | 38 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 12/24 | 0/3 | +14 | |
| Chet Holmgren FC | 27 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5/10 | 0/2 | +6 | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein CF | 27 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 4/8 | 0/0 | +2 | |
| Luguentz Dort G | 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3/4 | 1/2 | -10 | |
| Jalen Williams GF | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2/4 | 0/0 | +2 | |
| Alex Caruso G | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 5/7 | 3/4 | +18 | |
| Cason Wallace G | 25 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4/6 | 4/6 | -3 | |
| Jared McCain G | 26 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 4/14 | 3/9 | +9 | |
| Ajay Mitchell G | 28 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4/8 | 0/2 | +11 | |
| Jaylin Williams F | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2/6 | 2/6 | -5 | |
| Aaron Wiggins G | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Isaiah Joe G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/3 | 0/2 | +1 | |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle G | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 10/17 | 1/6 | -11 | |
| Devin Vassell GF | 38 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 7/14 | 6/12 | -7 | |
| Victor Wembanyama FC | 37 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 8/16 | 3/7 | +1 | |
| Dylan Harper G | 25 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5/10 | 0/0 | +6 | |
| Julian Champagnie G | 36 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2/8 | 1/7 | +11 | |
| Keldon Johnson FG | 26 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4/12 | 2/4 | -14 | |
| Jordan McLaughlin G | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/2 | -10 | |
| Harrison Barnes F | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 | -1 | |
| Luke Kornet FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | -10 | |
| Carter Bryant F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -10 | |