San Antonio Spurs
ELO 1843108 : 123
Oklahoma City Thunder
ELO 1808Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
60%
San Antonio Spurs
40%
Oklahoma City Thunder
Expected total
229
points
Projected score: 117 – 112
Favorite wins
67%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
San Antonio Spurs #262-20 · 0.756
Oklahoma City Thu… #164-18 · 0.780
Head coaches
San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Players to watch
GF · Oklahoma City…
Last: 30p · 4r · 9a · rating 8.4
FC · San Antonio S…
Last: 41p · 24r · 3a · rating 10.0
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 119 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 121 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 224 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 228 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 110 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 116 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 227 | both |
Score by period
| Period | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 31 | 26 |
| Period2 | 20 | 32 |
| Period3 | 33 | 37 |
| Period4 | 24 | 28 |
Box score
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Victor Wembanyama FC | 39 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 8/15 | 2/5 | +4 |
 |
Devin Vassell GF | 36 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 6/12 | 3/6 | -5 |
 |
De'Aaron Fox G | 31 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 7/14 | 1/6 | +9 |
 |
Stephon Castle G | 35 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 1/8 | 1/5 | -17 |
 |
Julian Champagnie G | 35 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4/10 | 2/8 | -4 |
 |
Dylan Harper G | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2/7 | 1/3 | -13 |
 |
Keldon Johnson FG | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1/5 | 1/4 | -23 |
 |
Luke Kornet FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | -18 |
 |
Kelly Olynyk FC | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0 |
 |
Carter Bryant F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/2 | -10 |
 |
Mason Plumlee FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 |
 |
Jordan McLaughlin G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 |
 |
Bismack Biyombo C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 |
 |
Harrison Barnes F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | +2 |
 |
Lindy Waters III G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander GF | 36 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 6/17 | 2/4 | +11 |
 |
Chet Holmgren FC | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5/7 | 1/2 | -2 |
 |
Isaiah Hartenstein CF | 21 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2/4 | 0/1 | -6 |
 |
Ajay Mitchell G | 17 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1/5 | 0/1 | -3 |
 |
Luguentz Dort G | 23 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -9 |
 |
Jared McCain G | 27 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 10/21 | 2/10 | +28 |
 |
Jaylin Williams F | 22 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 5/7 | 5/6 | +22 |
 |
Alex Caruso G | 24 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4/7 | 3/5 | +28 |
 |
Cason Wallace G | 28 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3/8 | 2/6 | +8 |
 |
Kenrich Williams GF | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0 |
 |
Isaiah Joe G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | -2 |
 |
Nikola Topic G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 |
 |
Aaron Wiggins G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 |