San Antonio Spurs
ELO 1843103 : 82
Oklahoma City Thunder
ELO 1808Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
59%
San Antonio Spurs
41%
Oklahoma City Thunder
Expected total
229
points
Projected score: 117 – 112
Favorite wins
68%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✗
Pre-game
Season form
San Antonio Spurs #262-20 · 0.756
Oklahoma City Thu… #164-18 · 0.780
Head coaches
San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Players to watch
GF · Oklahoma City…
Last: 26p · 2r · 12a · rating 8.5
FC · San Antonio S…
Last: 41p · 24r · 3a · rating 10.0
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 118 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 121 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 226 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 231 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 110 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 116 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 227 | both |
Score by period
| Period | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 28 | 19 |
| Period2 | 22 | 19 |
| Period3 | 28 | 22 |
| Period4 | 25 | 22 |
Box score
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Victor Wembanyama FC | 31 | 33 | 8 | 5 | 11/22 | 3/7 | +29 |
 |
Devin Vassell GF | 33 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 3/7 | 2/4 | +27 |
 |
Stephon Castle G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 5/11 | 1/3 | +25 |
 |
De'Aaron Fox G | 31 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 5/13 | 1/2 | -3 |
 |
Julian Champagnie G | 29 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1/7 | 0/5 | 0 |
 |
Dylan Harper G | 21 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2/4 | 0/1 | +25 |
 |
Keldon Johnson FG | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3/12 | 0/4 | +7 |
 |
Luke Kornet FC | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3/4 | 0/0 | -9 |
 |
Harrison Barnes F | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0/4 | 0/2 | +13 |
 |
Kelly Olynyk FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1/3 | 1/2 | +1 |
 |
Jordan McLaughlin G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 | -1 |
 |
Carter Bryant F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -10 |
 |
Lindy Waters III G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander GF | 31 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 6/15 | 0/1 | -18 |
 |
Isaiah Hartenstein CF | 18 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 6/11 | 0/0 | -16 |
 |
Chet Holmgren FC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 3/8 | 0/1 | +2 |
 |
Cason Wallace G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2/8 | 1/3 | -10 |
 |
Luguentz Dort G | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/1 | -16 |
 |
Isaiah Joe G | 19 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4/9 | 2/7 | +6 |
 |
Kenrich Williams GF | 23 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3/7 | 2/4 | -4 |
 |
Aaron Wiggins G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2/11 | 0/4 | -4 |
 |
Jared McCain G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1/10 | 0/5 | -13 |
 |
Jaylin Williams F | 23 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/7 | 1/7 | -11 |
 |
Nikola Topic G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Alex Caruso G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -22 |