Oklahoma City Thunder
ELO 1808127 : 114
San Antonio Spurs
ELO 1843Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
60%
Oklahoma City Thunder
40%
San Antonio Spurs
Expected total
229
points
Projected score: 115 – 114
Favorite wins
68%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Oklahoma City Thu… #164-18 · 0.780
San Antonio Spurs #262-20 · 0.756
Head coaches
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
Players to watch
FC · San Antonio S…
Last: 33p · 8r · 5a · rating 9.0
GF · Oklahoma City…
Last: 26p · 2r · 12a · rating 8.5
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 117 | both |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 227 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 224 | San Antonio Spurs |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 114 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 110 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 224 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 29 | 27 |
| Period2 | 40 | 31 |
| Period3 | 32 | 33 |
| Period4 | 26 | 23 |
Box score
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander GF | 37 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 7/19 | 2/3 | +8 |
 |
Jared McCain G | 33 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 7/19 | 3/9 | +1 |
 |
Chet Holmgren FC | 30 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 6/9 | 0/1 | -1 |
 |
Isaiah Hartenstein CF | 31 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 6/8 | 0/0 | +24 |
 |
Luguentz Dort G | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3/7 | 1/4 | -4 |
 |
Alex Caruso G | 28 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 5/10 | 4/8 | +18 |
 |
Kenrich Williams GF | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3/3 | 2/2 | +7 |
 |
Cason Wallace G | 31 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2/5 | 1/3 | +29 |
 |
Jaylin Williams F | 17 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/2 | -9 |
 |
Nikola Topic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -2 |
 |
Isaiah Joe G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -4 |
 |
Aaron Wiggins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -2 |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Stephon Castle G | 33 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 7/11 | 3/5 | -9 |
 |
Julian Champagnie G | 30 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 8/15 | 4/8 | -20 |
|
Victor Wembanyama FC | 38 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 4/15 | 0/5 | -8 |
 |
De'Aaron Fox G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 4/15 | 0/4 | -10 |
 |
Devin Vassell GF | 36 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2/11 | 2/9 | -2 |
 |
Keldon Johnson FG | 20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 7/13 | 1/4 | +3 |
 |
Carter Bryant F | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3/5 | 1/3 | -4 |
 |
Dylan Harper G | 25 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1/5 | 1/3 | -7 |
 |
Jordan McLaughlin G | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Kelly Olynyk FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Luke Kornet FC | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -6 |
 |
Bismack Biyombo C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Mason Plumlee FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Harrison Barnes F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -6 |