San Antonio Spurs
ELO 1843118 : 91
Oklahoma City Thunder
ELO 1808Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
56%
San Antonio Spurs
44%
Oklahoma City Thunder
Expected total
229
points
Projected score: 117 – 112
Favorite wins
68%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✗
Pre-game
Season form
San Antonio Spurs #262-20 · 0.756
Oklahoma City Thu… #164-18 · 0.780
Head coaches
San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Players to watch
GF · Oklahoma City…
Last: 32p · 2r · 9a · rating 7.9
FC · San Antonio S…
Last: 33p · 8r · 5a · rating 9.0
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 118 | both |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 227 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 228 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 111 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 115 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 226 | both |
Score by period
| Period | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 35 | 22 |
| Period2 | 25 | 31 |
| Period3 | 32 | 13 |
| Period4 | 26 | 25 |
Box score
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Victor Wembanyama FC | 28 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 10/21 | 4/9 | +13 |
 |
Stephon Castle G | 32 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 5/10 | 0/2 | +13 |
 |
Devin Vassell GF | 26 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4/7 | 4/7 | +18 |
 |
Julian Champagnie G | 25 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4/8 | 2/6 | +24 |
 |
De'Aaron Fox G | 26 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1/9 | 0/3 | +17 |
 |
Dylan Harper G | 22 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 6/9 | 2/3 | +19 |
 |
Keldon Johnson FG | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4/7 | 1/3 | +7 |
 |
Harrison Barnes F | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2/4 | 2/4 | +5 |
 |
Kelly Olynyk FC | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2/3 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Luke Kornet FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | +13 |
 |
Lindy Waters III G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/1 | +1 |
 |
Carter Bryant F | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1/3 | 0/2 | +2 |
 |
Bismack Biyombo C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Jordan McLaughlin G | 7 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0 |
 |
Mason Plumlee FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | +1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander GF | 28 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 6/18 | 0/5 | -28 |
 |
Jared McCain G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 4/11 | 2/3 | -14 |
 |
Chet Holmgren FC | 24 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 4/8 | 0/1 | -9 |
 |
Isaiah Hartenstein CF | 16 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 5/10 | 0/0 | -25 |
 |
Luguentz Dort G | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2/11 | 1/9 | -9 |
 |
Cason Wallace G | 20 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4/6 | 3/4 | -14 |
 |
Alex Caruso G | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3/7 | 1/3 | -4 |
 |
Kenrich Williams GF | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2/8 | 1/4 | -6 |
 |
Aaron Wiggins G | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0 |
 |
Jaylin Williams F | 26 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2/6 | 0/4 | -1 |
 |
Isaiah Joe G | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1/4 | 1/4 | -6 |
 |
Jalen Williams GF | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -18 |
 |
Nikola Topic G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -1 |