Oklahoma City Thunder
ELO 1808103 : 111
San Antonio Spurs
ELO 1843Prediction catboost-v1 (tier1)
57%
Oklahoma City Thunder
43%
San Antonio Spurs
Expected total
229
points
Projected score: 115 – 114
Favorite wins
64%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✗
Pre-game
Season form
Oklahoma City Thu… #164-18 · 0.780
San Antonio Spurs #262-20 · 0.756
Head coaches
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
Players to watch
FC · San Antonio S…
Last: 28p · 10r · 2a · rating 8.3
GF · Oklahoma City…
Last: 32p · 2r · 9a · rating 7.9
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 114 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 117 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 223 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 226 | San Antonio Spurs |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 115 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 112 | San Antonio Spurs |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 227 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 25 | 32 |
| Period2 | 28 | 24 |
| Period3 | 24 | 24 |
| Period4 | 26 | 31 |
Box score
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander GF | 43 | 35 | 4 | 9 | 12/21 | 2/5 | -7 |
 |
Cason Wallace G | 36 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6/10 | 5/9 | -3 |
 |
Isaiah Hartenstein CF | 21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3/7 | 0/0 | -14 |
 |
Chet Holmgren FC | 33 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | -3 |
 |
Luguentz Dort G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 | 1/3 | -9 |
 |
Alex Caruso G | 39 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3/14 | 1/6 | -5 |
 |
Jared McCain G | 23 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5/12 | 2/7 | -8 |
 |
Jaylin Williams F | 26 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 5/9 | 1/3 | +10 |
 |
Kenrich Williams GF | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1/4 | 0/2 | -1 |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Victor Wembanyama FC | 42 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 7/15 | 3/5 | +7 |
 |
Julian Champagnie G | 38 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 6/11 | 6/10 | +16 |
 |
Stephon Castle G | 36 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 7/15 | 0/3 | +1 |
 |
De'Aaron Fox G | 36 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 6/12 | 3/7 | +3 |
 |
Devin Vassell GF | 33 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4/14 | 1/6 | 0 |
 |
Dylan Harper G | 27 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5/8 | 2/3 | +9 |
 |
Keldon Johnson FG | 16 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4/8 | 2/5 | +6 |
 |
Carter Bryant F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +2 |
 |
Luke Kornet FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | +1 |
 |
Harrison Barnes F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -5 |