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Lega A Basket · Serie A 25/26 · Saturday, 30 May 2026 22:00 UTC · finished

Virtus Bologna

ELO 1560
83 : 91

Umana Reyer Venezia

ELO 1571

Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)

66%
Virtus Bologna
Pick: Virtus Bologna · High
34%
Umana Reyer Venezia
Expected total
172
points
Projected score: 8983
Favorite wins
66%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
P(total > 205)
4%
P(total > 215)
2%
P(total > 225)
1%

Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.

Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215:

Pre-game

Season form
Virtus Bologna #123-5 · 0.821
Umana Reyer Venez… #419-9 · 0.679
Head coaches
Duško Ivanović
Virtus Bologna
Neven Spahija
Umana Reyer Venezia
Venue
cap 9980
Virtus Arena
Bologna · Italy

Players to watch

Carsen Edwards
G · Virtus Bologna
Last: 31p · 2r · 5a · rating 8.8

Form & trends

MetricValueTeam
First quarter loser 7/8 Umana Reyer Venez…
Scored points average (Last 10) 91 Virtus Bologna
Scored points average (Last 10) 85 Umana Reyer Venez…
Game points average (Last 10) 174 Virtus Bologna
Game points average (Last 10) 169 Umana Reyer Venez…

Head-to-head (last 10)

MetricValueTeam
Scored points average (Last 10) 83 Virtus Bologna
Scored points average (Last 10) 79 Umana Reyer Venez…
Game points average (Last 10) 161 both

Score by period

PeriodVirtus BolognaUmana Reyer Venezia
Period1 23 18
Period2 23 27
Period3 19 19
Period4 18 27

Box score

Virtus Bologna

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Carsen Edwards G 32 21 2 2 6/23 1/7 +1
Mouhamet Rassoul Diouf C 24 16 3 1 5/8 0/0 -8
Luca Vildoza G 27 12 7 2 5/7 2/3 -10
Saliou Niang F 33 6 8 2 3/3 0/0 -14
Alen Smailagić FC 20 3 1 0 1/4 1/3 -2
Matt Morgan G 15 9 0 2 3/7 1/4 -3
Karim Jallow F 14 8 2 0 3/4 1/2 +2
Aliou Diarra C 13 5 4 1 2/5 0/0 +2
Daniel Hackett G 18 3 3 2 1/4 0/3 -4
Francesco Ferrari F 1 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 -2
Nicola Akele F 3 0 0 0 0/1 0/0 -2
Matteo Baiocchi F 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0

Umana Reyer Venezia

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3P+/-
Kyle Wiltjer FC 32 26 1 0 9/15 6/10 +11
Jordan Parks F 26 16 7 4 6/8 2/3 +11
RJ Cole G 26 13 3 6 2/5 1/2 +19
Amedeo Tessitori C 16 6 2 1 2/5 0/0 +11
Ky Bowman G 27 4 3 2 2/6 0/3 +13
Chris Horton C 23 12 6 2 4/6 0/0 -1
Denzel Valentine GF 11 6 3 4 2/5 2/5 -5
Leonardo Candi G 14 3 0 2 1/1 1/1 -11
Stefan Nikolic F 3 2 0 0 1/2 0/1 0
Carl Wheatle F 17 2 1 1 0/2 0/1 -3
Alessandro Lever C 5 1 0 0 0/1 0/1 -5
Giovanni De Nicolao G 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0