Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
66%
Virtus Bologna
34%
Umana Reyer Venezia
Expected total
172
points
Projected score: 89 – 83
Favorite wins
66%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Virtus Bologna #123-5 · 0.821
Umana Reyer Venez… #419-9 · 0.679
Head coaches
Virtus Bologna
Umana Reyer Venezia
Players to watch
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First quarter loser | 7/8 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 91 | Virtus Bologna |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 85 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 174 | Virtus Bologna |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 169 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 83 | Virtus Bologna |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 79 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 161 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Virtus Bologna | Umana Reyer Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 23 | 18 |
| Period2 | 23 | 27 |
| Period3 | 19 | 19 |
| Period4 | 18 | 27 |
Box score
Virtus Bologna
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Edwards G | 32 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 6/23 | 1/7 | +1 | |
| Mouhamet Rassoul Diouf C | 24 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5/8 | 0/0 | -8 | |
| Luca Vildoza G | 27 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5/7 | 2/3 | -10 | |
| Saliou Niang F | 33 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | -14 | |
| Alen Smailagić FC | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1/4 | 1/3 | -2 | |
| Matt Morgan G | 15 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3/7 | 1/4 | -3 | |
| Karim Jallow F | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3/4 | 1/2 | +2 | |
| Aliou Diarra C | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2/5 | 0/0 | +2 | |
| Daniel Hackett G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1/4 | 0/3 | -4 | |
| Francesco Ferrari F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -2 | |
| Nicola Akele F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -2 | |
| Matteo Baiocchi F | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
Umana Reyer Venezia
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Wiltjer FC | 32 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/10 | +11 | |
| Jordan Parks F | 26 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 6/8 | 2/3 | +11 | |
| RJ Cole G | 26 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 2/5 | 1/2 | +19 | |
| Amedeo Tessitori C | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2/5 | 0/0 | +11 | |
| Ky Bowman G | 27 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2/6 | 0/3 | +13 | |
| Chris Horton C | 23 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4/6 | 0/0 | -1 | |
| Denzel Valentine GF | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2/5 | 2/5 | -5 | |
| Leonardo Candi G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | -11 | |
| Stefan Nikolic F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Carl Wheatle F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/1 | -3 | |
| Alessandro Lever C | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -5 | |
| Giovanni De Nicolao G | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |