Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
65%
Virtus Bologna
35%
Umana Reyer Venezia
Expected total
172
points
Projected score: 89 – 83
Favorite wins
68%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Virtus Bologna #123-5 · 0.821
Umana Reyer Venez… #419-9 · 0.679
Head coaches
Virtus Bologna
Umana Reyer Venezia
Players to watch
FC · Umana Reyer V…
Last: 26p · 1r · 0a · rating 7.7
G · Virtus Bologna
Last: 31p · 2r · 5a · rating 8.8
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 5/7 | Virtus Bologna |
| First half loser | 4/5 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| First quarter loser | 8/9 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 90 | Virtus Bologna |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 87 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 174 | Virtus Bologna |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 170 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 83 | Virtus Bologna |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 79 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 162 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Virtus Bologna | Umana Reyer Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 29 | 16 |
| Period2 | 33 | 26 |
| Period3 | 20 | 12 |
| Period4 | 16 | 25 |
Box score
Virtus Bologna
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Edwards G | 20 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 9/12 | 6/8 | +1 | |
| Mouhamet Rassoul Diouf C | 20 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 9/10 | 0/0 | +24 | |
| Karim Jallow F | 28 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4/10 | 0/3 | +19 | |
| Saliou Niang F | 19 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2/3 | 0/0 | +24 | |
| Luca Vildoza G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +10 | |
| Matt Morgan G | 26 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 5/11 | 2/7 | +16 | |
| Aliou Diarra C | 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5/7 | 0/0 | +5 | |
| Alen Smailagić FC | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2/4 | 0/1 | -7 | |
| Daniel Hackett G | 21 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | +24 | |
| Francesco Ferrari F | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0/4 | 0/4 | -6 | |
| Nicola Akele F | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | -10 | |
| Federico Galassi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -5 | |
Umana Reyer Venezia
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Wiltjer FC | 21 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 6/11 | 2/5 | -22 | |
| Amedeo Tessitori C | 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5/8 | 1/1 | -17 | |
| Jordan Parks F | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2/5 | 0/0 | -27 | |
| Ky Bowman G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 | 0/3 | -20 | |
| RJ Cole G | 23 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0/6 | 0/1 | -31 | |
| Giovanni De Nicolao G | 9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4/5 | 2/2 | +11 | |
| Leonardo Candi G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3/6 | 1/3 | +4 | |
| Denzel Valentine GF | 21 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2/6 | 2/5 | +5 | |
| Alessandro Lever C | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2/4 | 1/2 | +9 | |
| Stefan Nikolic F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | +9 | |
| Carl Wheatle F | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2/7 | 0/2 | -5 | |
| Chris Horton C | 17 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2/7 | 0/0 | -11 | |