Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
57%
Umana Reyer Venezia
43%
Virtus Bologna
Expected total
172
points
Projected score: 86 – 86
Favorite wins
60%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Umana Reyer Venez… #419-9 · 0.679
Virtus Bologna #123-5 · 0.821
Head coaches
Umana Reyer Venezia
Virtus Bologna
Players to watch
C · Virtus Bologna
Last: 18p · 11r · 3a · rating 9.0
FC · Umana Reyer V…
Last: 26p · 1r · 0a · rating 7.7
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 4/5 | Virtus Bologna |
| First half loser | 5/6 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| First quarter loser | 9/10 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 85 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 93 | Virtus Bologna |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 170 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 177 | Virtus Bologna |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 4/5 | Virtus Bologna |
| First half loser | 4/5 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 79 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 84 | Virtus Bologna |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 164 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Umana Reyer Venezia | Virtus Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 16 | 28 |
| Period2 | 24 | 17 |
| Period3 | 19 | 14 |
| Period4 | 30 | 26 |
Box score
Umana Reyer Venezia
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amedeo Tessitori C | 24 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 10/13 | 0/1 | +12 | |
| RJ Cole G | 34 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4/10 | 0/1 | +4 | |
| Kyle Wiltjer FC | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3/5 | 2/4 | +5 | |
| Ky Bowman G | 20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3/7 | 1/2 | -3 | |
| Denzel Valentine GF | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1/3 | 0/2 | -9 | |
| Jordan Parks F | 34 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 5/9 | 2/3 | +7 | |
| Leonardo Candi G | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3/7 | 1/4 | +14 | |
| Carl Wheatle F | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4/9 | 1/5 | +7 | |
| Chris Horton C | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | -8 | |
| Stefan Nikolic F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | -9 | |
| Giovanni De Nicolao G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Alessandro Lever C | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
Virtus Bologna
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Edwards G | 29 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 11/18 | 8/13 | -2 | |
| Mouhamet Rassoul Diouf C | 26 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5/9 | 0/0 | +2 | |
| Saliou Niang F | 24 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 4/5 | 1/1 | -2 | |
| Karim Jallow F | 28 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2/9 | 0/3 | -11 | |
| Daniel Hackett G | 20 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1/3 | 0/1 | -16 | |
| Aliou Diarra C | 14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4/6 | 0/0 | -7 | |
| Yago Dos Santos G | 26 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1/5 | 0/1 | +7 | |
| Francesco Ferrari F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 | -1 | |
| Matt Morgan G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1/6 | 0/4 | +3 | |
| Alen Smailagić FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | +7 | |
| Nicola Akele F | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |