Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
57%
Umana Reyer Venezia
43%
Virtus Bologna
Expected total
175
points
Projected score: 86 – 88
Favorite wins
61%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Umana Reyer Venez… #419-9 · 0.679
Virtus Bologna #123-5 · 0.821
Head coaches
Umana Reyer Venezia
Virtus Bologna
Players to watch
C · Virtus Bologna
Last: 18p · 11r · 3a · rating 9.0
C · Umana Reyer V…
Last: 22p · 10r · 1a · rating 7.9
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 5/5 | Virtus Bologna |
| First half loser | 6/7 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| First quarter winner | 4/5 | Virtus Bologna |
| First quarter loser | 9/10 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 85 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 92 | Virtus Bologna |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 170 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 177 | Virtus Bologna |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 5/6 | Virtus Bologna |
| First half loser | 5/6 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| First quarter winner | 5/7 | Virtus Bologna |
| First quarter loser | 5/7 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 80 | Umana Reyer Venez… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 85 | Virtus Bologna |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 164 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Umana Reyer Venezia | Virtus Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 24 | 23 |
| Period2 | 13 | 19 |
| Period3 | 20 | 27 |
| Period4 | 33 | 14 |
Box score
Umana Reyer Venezia
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Cole G | 33 | 30 | 5 | 5 | 11/21 | 4/7 | +17 | |
| Amedeo Tessitori C | 27 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 8/9 | 1/1 | +6 | |
| Jordan Parks F | 29 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 7/13 | 3/6 | +23 | |
| Ky Bowman G | 29 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4/11 | 0/2 | +10 | |
| Kyle Wiltjer FC | 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/7 | 0/5 | -9 | |
| Chris Horton C | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | -10 | |
| Leonardo Candi G | 19 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | +8 | |
| Carl Wheatle F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1/6 | 0/3 | -3 | |
| Stefan Nikolic F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -3 | |
| Giovanni De Nicolao G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Denzel Valentine GF | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 | -1 | |
| Alessandro Lever C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | -3 | |
Virtus Bologna
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saliou Niang F | 36 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 8/14 | 2/5 | -14 | |
| Carsen Edwards G | 31 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6/19 | 3/12 | -12 | |
| Mouhamet Rassoul Diouf C | 22 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5/6 | 0/0 | -4 | |
| Daniel Hackett G | 26 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3/5 | 1/2 | -18 | |
| Karim Jallow F | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -8 | |
| Matt Morgan G | 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5/10 | 3/5 | -2 | |
| Aliou Diarra C | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3/4 | 0/0 | +1 | |
| Alen Smailagić FC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/1 | +12 | |
| Nicola Akele F | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Federico Galassi F | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Yago Dos Santos G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0/2 | 0/2 | +11 | |
| Francesco Ferrari F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -1 | |