Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
58%
ALBA Berlin
42%
Bayern München
Expected total
159
points
Projected score: 77 – 81
Favorite wins
62%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
ALBA Berlin #224-10 · 0.706
Bayern München #129-5 · 0.853
Head coaches
ALBA Berlin
Bayern München
Players to watch
G · Bayern München
Last: 33p · 1r · 3a · rating 8.5
F · ALBA Berlin
Last: 13p · 4r · 4a · rating 7.6
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 9/10 | Bayern München |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 87 | ALBA Berlin |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 89 | Bayern München |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 170 | ALBA Berlin |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 162 | Bayern München |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 7/8 | Bayern München |
| First half loser | 7/8 | ALBA Berlin |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 76 | ALBA Berlin |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 82 | Bayern München |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 157 | both |
Score by period
| Period | ALBA Berlin | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 24 | 25 |
| Period2 | 16 | 18 |
| Period3 | 20 | 18 |
| Period4 | 23 | 30 |
Box score
ALBA Berlin
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bean F | 18 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3/7 | 2/4 | -5 | |
| Malte Delow G | 22 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4/5 | 0/1 | -10 | |
| Martin Hermannsson G | 26 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4/10 | 1/6 | -10 | |
| Norris Agbakoko C | 25 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4/6 | 0/0 | -7 | |
| Jonas Mattisseck G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | -5 | |
| Jack Kayil G | 24 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 5/14 | 2/8 | -3 | |
| Sam Griesel F | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4/5 | 1/1 | +2 | |
| Michael Rataj F | 17 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3/9 | 0/2 | 0 | |
| J'wan Roberts F | 15 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2/4 | 0/0 | -1 | |
| Moses Wood F | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1/5 | 0/4 | -1 | |
| Bennet Hundt G | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Alex O'Connell F | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
Bayern München
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nenad Dimitrijevic G | 23 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 8/13 | 1/2 | +4 | |
| Vladimir Lučić F | 24 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 5/6 | 2/3 | +8 | |
| Andreas Obst G | 31 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3/8 | 1/4 | +8 | |
| Isiaha Mike F | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4/5 | 1/1 | +9 | |
| Wenyen Gabriel C | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3/4 | 0/0 | +3 | |
| Justus Hollatz G | 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3/5 | 1/2 | +4 | |
| Niels Giffey F | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 0 | |
| Johannes Voigtmann FC | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1/3 | 0/2 | -1 | |
| Oscar Da Silva FC | 26 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1/6 | 0/0 | +5 | |
| Justinian Jessup G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2/8 | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Elias Harris F | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes G | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |