Prediction catboost-v1 (tier2)
70%
Valencia Basket
30%
Barça Basket
Expected total
175
points
Projected score: 88 – 87
Favorite wins
69%
probability the ELO-favourite wins
Fixed lines (calibrated for NBA pace). For European leagues the predicted total is usually well below 205 — over X probabilities will be low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓
Pre-game
Season form
Valencia Basket #225-9 · 0.735
Barça Basket #524-10 · 0.706
Head coaches
Valencia Basket
Barça Basket
Players to watch
G · Barça Basket
Last: 20p · 3r · 7a · rating 8.4
G · Valencia Bask…
Last: 24p · 8r · 7a · rating 8.8
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | Barça Basket |
| First half winner | 4/5 | Valencia Basket |
| First quarter winner | 5/5 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 98 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 94 | Barça Basket |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 184 | Valencia Basket |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 181 | Barça Basket |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First half winner | 4/5 | Valencia Basket |
| First half loser | 4/5 | Barça Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 82 | Valencia Basket |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 85 | Barça Basket |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 168 | both |
Score by period
| Period | Valencia Basket | Barça Basket |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 26 | 11 |
| Period2 | 19 | 27 |
| Period3 | 29 | 14 |
| Period4 | 28 | 23 |
Box score
Valencia Basket
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Claudio Montero G | 23 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 6/11 | 0/3 | +27 | |
| Braxton Key F | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7/13 | 1/1 | +27 | |
| Brancou Badio G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2/5 | 1/2 | +23 | |
| Kameron Taylor F | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/1 | +26 | |
| Neal Sako C | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | +22 | |
| Omari Moore G | 17 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 | 3/4 | +1 | |
| Sergio De Larrea G | 16 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3/7 | 2/4 | -3 | |
| Jaime Pradilla FC | 19 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 0 | |
| Yankuba Sima Fatty C | 12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4/6 | 1/2 | +1 | |
| Matt Costello CF | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3/4 | 1/2 | +4 | |
| Josep Puerto GF | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Alvaro Cardenas G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | +7 | |
Barça Basket
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornike Shengelia F | 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4/10 | 0/0 | -8 | |
| Youssoupha Fall C | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | -14 | |
| Kevin Punter G | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/9 | 0/2 | -13 | |
| William Clyburn F | 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1/5 | 0/3 | -15 | |
| Juani Marcos G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | -4 | |
| Joel Parra F | 24 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 7/11 | 2/4 | -21 | |
| Nicolas Laprovittola G | 13 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 4/8 | 1/3 | -9 | |
| Dario Brizuela G | 21 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4/9 | 1/4 | -15 | |
| Jan Vesely C | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3/5 | 0/0 | -3 | |
| Myles Cale GF | 23 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2/5 | 0/1 | -11 | |
| Willy Hernangomez C | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2/5 | 0/0 | -8 | |
| Tomas Satoransky G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/5 | 0/4 | -14 | |