Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves — NBA

NBA ·NBA 26/27 ·Wed 21 Oct, 23:30 UTC

Miami Heat ELO 1464

106–131

Final

Minnesota Timberwolves ELO 1689

Score by period

Period	Miami Heat	Minnesota Timbe…
Period1	32	34
Period2	27	35
Period3	22	30
Period4	25	32

Prediction Low confidence

Miami Heat 55%

Minnesota Timbe… 45%

Pick: Miami Heat

Expected total

237 points

Projected: 126 – 112

Favorite wins

64%

P(total > 205)

93%

P(total > 215)

88%

P(total > 225)

73%

Fixed lines calibrated for NBA pace — European leagues typically score well below 205, so these probabilities read low by design.

Outcome: ✗ model missed · Over 215: ✓

Match facts

Arena

Kaseya Center

City

Miami

Tip-off

21 Oct, 23:30 UTC

Competition

NBA

Miami Heat

#25 · 0-3

Minnesota Tim…

#5 · 2-0

Miami Heat

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	PF	FG	3P	FT	+/-	TS%	eFG%	USG%	RTG
Giannis Antetokounmpo	30	35	6	1	1	0	3	5	13-19	0-2	9-14	-11	69.6	68.4	40.2	7.9
Bam Adebayo	31	15	7	4	3	0	2	2	6-12	1-5	2-3	-28	56.3	54.2	21.4	7.3
Davion Mitchell	33	11	0	11	0	1	5	4	4-8	1-2	2-2	-27	61.9	56.3	18.0	7.1
Andrew Wiggins	27	11	2	1	0	0	2	1	5-11	1-4	0-0	-25	–	50.0	20.3	6.3
Klay Thompson	16	10	1	0	0	0	2	4	3-6	3-6	1-1	-23	77.6	75.0	22.1	6.3
Bench
Bobby Portis	25	7	4	1	1	1	2	2	3-5	1-2	0-0	-5	–	70.0	11.9	6.8
Myron Gardner	3	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	0-0	4-4	+4	–	–	23.2	–
Nick Richards	3	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	0-0	0-0	+4	–	100.0	26.3	–
Nikola Jović	24	4	4	2	0	1	2	3	2-8	0-3	0-0	-5	–	25.0	17.7	6.1
Tim Hardaway Jr.	18	3	4	1	1	0	0	2	1-7	1-7	0-0	-5	–	21.4	16.7	5.7
Pelle Larsson	24	2	3	4	1	1	0	3	0-2	0-1	2-2	-12	34.7	0.0	5.1	6.6
Simone Fontecchio	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	+4	–	–	0.0	–
Ryan Conwell	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	+4	–	0.0	13.2	–

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	PF	FG	3P	FT	+/-	TS%	eFG%	USG%	RTG
Anthony Edwards	33	45	10	3	2	1	4	1	16-29	9-17	4-5	+25	72.1	70.7	40.3	9.7
LaMelo Ball	29	21	2	6	2	0	1	4	7-17	5-13	2-3	+18	57.3	55.9	25.2	7.8
Jaden McDaniels	29	17	8	1	3	0	2	4	8-11	1-3	0-0	+25	–	77.3	16.9	7.7
Jonathan Kuminga	30	12	1	3	4	1	1	4	5-10	2-4	0-0	+20	–	60.0	13.9	7.3
Rudy Gobert	34	5	15	1	0	0	3	4	0-2	0-0	5-8	+29	45.3	0.0	9.5	6.5
Bench
Ayo Dosunmu	29	16	5	3	0	0	1	3	6-13	1-3	3-3	+21	55.9	50.0	19.7	7.2
Terrence Shannon Jr.	20	10	1	1	0	0	1	0	3-9	2-7	2-4	+9	46.5	44.4	22.3	6.4
Bones Hyland	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	1-2	0-0	-2	–	75.0	19.4	–
Jaylen Clark	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	1-4	-4	18.1	0.0	31.9	–
Trey Lyles	12	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-1	0-0	1-2	-3	26.6	0.0	5.7	5.2
Joan Beringer	14	0	6	1	0	0	1	1	0-2	0-0	0-0	-7	–	0.0	8.3	5.9
Cody Williams	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	-4	–	0.0	12.2	–
Isaiah Evans	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	-2	–	–	0.0	–

Season form

Miami Heat #250-3 · 0.000

Minnesota Timberw… #52-0 · 1.000

Head coaches

Erik Spoelstra

Miami Heat

Chris Finch

Minnesota Timberwolves

Venue

Kaseya Center

Miami · USA · cap 19600

Form & trends

Metric	Value	Team
Scored points average (Last 10)	111	Miami Heat
Scored points average (Last 10)	110	Minnesota Timberw…
Game points average (Last 10)	218	Miami Heat
Game points average (Last 10)	224	Minnesota Timberw…

Head-to-head (last 10)

Metric	Value	Team
Wins	4	Minnesota Timberw…
Scored points average (Last 10)	106	Miami Heat
Scored points average (Last 10)	113	Minnesota Timberw…
Game points average (Last 10)	218	both