Score by period
| Period | Oklahoma City T… | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Period1 | 24 | 27 |
| Period2 | 20 | 21 |
| Period3 | 26 | 16 |
| Period4 | 26 | 20 |
Prediction Very High confidence
Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder
Expected total
218 points
Projected: 111 – 107
Favorite wins
85%
P(total > 205)
90%
P(total > 215)
75%
P(total > 225)
55%
Fixed lines calibrated for NBA pace — European leagues typically score well below 205, so these probabilities read low by design.
Outcome: ✓ model got it right
· Over 215: ✗
Match facts
Arena
PayCom Center
City
Oklahoma City
Tip-off
23 Oct, 01:30 UTC
Competition
NBA
Oklahoma City…
#6 · 2-0
Denver Nuggets
#15 · 1-1
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | +/- | TS% | eFG% | USG% | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jalen Williams |
33 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 59.5 | 53.3 | 23.1 | 7.3 |
 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
35 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 2-2 | +21 | 42.8 | 39.5 | 23.6 | 7.2 |
 Chet Holmgren |
28 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | +12 | 60.7 | 55.6 | 19.0 | 8.0 |
 Cason Wallace |
24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | +8 | – | 56.3 | 13.7 | 6.8 |
 Isaiah Hartenstein |
23 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +8 | – | 30.0 | 21.7 | 6.3 |
| Bench | ||||||||||||||||
 Ajay Mitchell |
23 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | +10 | 50.5 | 45.5 | 26.6 | 6.9 |
 Alex Caruso |
20 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | +17 | – | 50.0 | 14.7 | 7.5 |
 Jared McCain |
18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | -2 | 29.1 | 16.7 | 20.2 | 5.1 |
 Kenrich Williams |
6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | -9 | – | 75.0 | 14.7 | – |
 Jaylin Williams |
15 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | +13 | – | 37.5 | 10.9 | 6.7 |
 Aday Mara |
13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -8 | – | 33.3 | 13.0 | 6.1 |
 Brooks Barnhizer |
2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -5 | – | – | 0.0 | – |
 Bennett Stirtz |
2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -5 | – | 0.0 | 24.0 | – |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | +/- | TS% | eFG% | USG% | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Gordon |
29 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 5-6 | -11 | 85.9 | 83.3 | 19.0 | 7.9 |
 Nikola Jokić |
35 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 2-4 | -20 | 31.3 | 29.0 | 26.4 | 6.1 |
 Christian Braun |
33 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | -20 | – | 35.0 | 15.1 | 6.0 |
 Jamal Murray |
37 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | -15 | 23.5 | 18.2 | 20.9 | 5.2 |
 Cameron Johnson |
11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | – | 83.3 | 10.9 | 6.7 |
| Bench | ||||||||||||||||
 DeMar DeRozan |
28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | -10 | 55.8 | 55.6 | 24.2 | 5.3 |
 Ryan Nembhard |
2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | +5 | – | 83.3 | 71.6 | – |
 Alpha Diallo |
22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | +1 | – | 50.0 | 11.1 | 6.5 |
 Trevon Brazile |
18 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | -1 | 29.1 | 16.7 | 17.5 | 6.4 |
 DaRon Holmes II |
2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | +5 | – | 75.0 | 47.8 | – |
 Tyus Jones |
10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -2 | – | 33.3 | 12.9 | 6.1 |
 Marvin Bagley III |
11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +3 | – | 33.3 | 18.7 | 6.1 |
 Bryce Hopkins |
2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +5 | – | – | 0.0 | – |
Team stats
Scoring
| Stat | Oklahoma City T… | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Free throws | 13/14 (92%) | 14/22 (63%) |
| 2 pointers | 25/52 (48%) | 23/52 (44%) |
| 3 pointers | 11/43 (25%) | 8/30 (26%) |
| Field goals | 36/95 (37%) | 31/82 (37%) |
Other
| Stat | Oklahoma City T… | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | 46 | 53 |
| Defensive rebounds | 30 | 34 |
| Offensive rebounds | 16 | 19 |
| Assists | 22 | 17 |
| Turnovers | 12 | 22 |
| Steals | 12 | 7 |
| Blocks | 9 | 2 |
| Fouls | 22 | 23 |
Lead
| Stat | Oklahoma City T… | Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Max points in a row | 8 | 8 |
| Time spent in lead | 15:53 | 29:48 |
| Biggest lead | 17 | 9 |
Season form
Oklahoma City Thu… #62-0 · 1.000
Denver Nuggets #151-1 · 0.500
Head coaches
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
Venue
PayCom Center
Oklahoma City · USA · cap 18203
Form & trends
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 102 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 107 | Denver Nuggets |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 213 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 212 | Denver Nuggets |
Head-to-head (last 10)
| Metric | Value | Team |
|---|---|---|
| First quarter winner | 4/5 | Denver Nuggets |
| First quarter loser | 4/5 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 112 | Oklahoma City Thu… |
| Scored points average (Last 10) | 109 | Denver Nuggets |
| Game points average (Last 10) | 220 | both |