Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks — NBA

NBA ·NBA 26/27 ·Thu 22 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Houston Rockets ELO 1637

128–110

Final

Dallas Mavericks ELO 1357

Score by period

Period	Houston Rockets	Dallas Mavericks
Period1	32	26
Period2	38	12
Period3	30	38
Period4	28	34

Prediction Very High confidence

Houston Rockets 77%

Dallas Mavericks 23%

Pick: Houston Rockets

Expected total

223 points

Projected: 113 – 110

Favorite wins

89%

P(total > 205)

90%

P(total > 215)

75%

P(total > 225)

58%

Fixed lines calibrated for NBA pace — European leagues typically score well below 205, so these probabilities read low by design.

Outcome: ✓ model got it right · Over 215: ✓

Match facts

Arena

Toyota Center

City

Houston

Tip-off

22 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Competition

NBA

Houston Rocke…

#2 · 3-0

Dallas Maveri…

#21 · 1-2

Houston Rockets

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	PF	FG	3P	FT	+/-	TS%	eFG%	USG%	RTG
Kevin Durant	37	30	6	3	1	1	4	2	10-16	2-4	8-11	+12	72.0	68.8	26.9	7.8
Jabari Smith Jr.	36	30	5	1	2	0	1	3	11-17	4-8	4-5	+18	78.1	76.5	22.4	8.2
Alperen Sengun	30	23	10	5	0	0	4	4	9-15	2-2	3-4	+23	68.6	66.7	28.1	8.2
Amen Thompson	33	16	10	4	1	0	1	1	6-12	1-2	3-5	+5	56.3	54.2	18.5	7.5
Fred VanVleet	30	6	2	11	3	1	0	4	2-8	2-6	0-0	+19	–	37.5	11.0	8.0
Bench
Marcus Smart	26	10	2	2	1	0	1	1	4-6	2-4	0-0	+14	–	71.4	12.2	7.3
Bogdan Bogdanović	13	5	1	2	0	0	0	2	2-3	1-2	0-0	+7	–	83.3	9.3	6.6
Isaiah Crawford	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	1-1	0-0	+1	–	150.0	15.0	–
Reed Sheppard	16	3	2	4	2	0	3	1	1-6	1-6	0-0	-5	–	25.0	23.2	6.2
Tari Eason	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1-2	0-0	0-0	+4	–	50.0	26.3	–
Bruce Thornton	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	-1	–	0.0	16.2	–
Clint Capela	8	0	3	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	-6	–	–	5.2	5.8
Jae'Sean Tate	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	-1	–	0.0	22.3	–

Dallas Mavericks

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	PF	FG	3P	FT	+/-	TS%	eFG%	USG%	RTG
Cooper Flagg	33	32	5	2	3	1	4	4	10-17	1-4	11-13	-6	70.4	61.8	33.9	7.9
Kyrie Irving	24	15	4	2	1	0	4	1	6-9	1-4	2-2	-7	75.9	72.2	24.4	7.0
P.J. Washington Jr.	31	10	4	2	0	1	4	2	4-9	2-6	0-2	-27	50.6	55.6	19.0	6.1
Max Christie	29	5	3	2	0	0	2	2	2-8	1-7	0-0	-21	–	31.3	14.7	5.3
Daniel Gafford	22	2	3	1	1	2	1	4	0-1	0-0	2-4	+9	36.2	0.0	7.3	6.4
Bench
Marcus Sasser	24	17	1	1	1	0	1	2	6-8	4-5	1-1	0	100.7	100.0	16.7	7.3
Naji Marshall	29	16	2	6	1	0	2	3	7-13	2-6	0-0	-12	–	61.5	21.8	7.3
Morez Johnson	14	6	3	1	0	0	0	5	3-5	0-0	0-2	-20	51.0	60.0	17.8	6.1
Zaccharie Risacher	27	4	6	2	5	0	3	0	2-7	0-4	0-0	+7	–	28.6	15.4	6.9
Moussa Cisse	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	1-2	+1	79.8	100.0	31.4	–
Sergio De Larrea	7	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	-14	–	0.0	6.1	6.1

Season form

Houston Rockets #23-0 · 1.000

Dallas Mavericks #211-2 · 0.333

Head coaches

Ime Udoka

Houston Rockets

Dusty May

Dallas Mavericks

Venue

Toyota Center

Houston · USA · cap 18300

Form & trends

Metric	Value	Team
First quarter winner	5/7	Houston Rockets
First quarter loser	4/5	Dallas Mavericks
Scored points average (Last 10)	101	Houston Rockets
Scored points average (Last 10)	107	Dallas Mavericks
Game points average (Last 10)	197	Houston Rockets
Game points average (Last 10)	214	Dallas Mavericks

Head-to-head (last 10)

Metric	Value	Team
Scored points average (Last 10)	114	Houston Rockets
Scored points average (Last 10)	110	Dallas Mavericks
Game points average (Last 10)	224	both