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Umberto Louzer
América Mineiro
Goiás
América Mineiro
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Goiás
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
45'+6
VAR
Penalty check · Juninho
46'
F. Elizari · Foul
46'
🔁
G. Mastriani ◂ G. Barros
60'
🔁
T. Ostchega ◂ F. Elizari
61'
⚽
P. Victor · assist G. Mastriani1–0
67'
🔁
I. Charbaje ◂ P. Victor
70'
🔁
A. Ramon ◂ L. Lima
70'
🔁
Gegê ◂ J. Carlos
75'
🔁
Djalma ◂ R. Soares
76'
🔁
E. García ◂ Juninho
80'
🔁
J. R. Jiménez ◂ F. Amaral
80'
🔁
F. P. Dahora ◂ G. Parede
81'
Gustavo · Argument
81'
Filipe Machado · Foul
86'
🔁
Brayann ◂ Lourenço
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Umberto LouzerMozart Santos 
Recent form
América MineiroLAAvaí1-2
DHCeará1-1
DHLondrina1-1
LACuiabá0-1
LAOperário-PR0-1
GoiásDHSport Recife1-1
WAPonte Preta2-1
DAClube De Regatas Brasil2-2
WHCeará2-0
WANáutico1-0
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Independência
City
Belo Horizonte
Referee
Braulio Da Silva Machado
Kickoff
26 Jul, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
América Mineiro
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Goiás
1
Gustavo
9.6
15
A. Silva
7.4
26
Manoel
6.7
3
L. Sosa
7.2
29
Dalbert
6.6
32
F. P. Dahora
6.6
↑ 80'
17
G. Mastriani
6.8
↑ 46'
10
Y. Souza
6.9
25
T. Ostchega
6.6
↑ 60'
93
J. R. Jiménez
6.7
↑ 80'
39
I. Charbaje
6.7
↑ 67'
1
T. Rodrigues
6.3
54
Djalma
6.7
↑ 75'
4
R. Menezes
6.7
14
L. Ribeiro
7.0
6
Nicolas
6.7
5
Filipe Machado
6.7
88
Brayann
6.5
↑ 86'
15
E. García
6.6
↑ 76'
28
Gegê
6.6
↑ 70'
9
A. Ramon
6.3
↑ 70'
18
Cadu
6.2
Substitutes
91GB. Brígido
4DR. Barcelos
30DLuidy
61DG. Oliveira
13DHeitor
8MF. Amaral↓ 80'6.8
7MG. Parede↓ 80'6.8
5MF. Elizari↓ 60'6.5
11MG. Barros↓ 46'6.4
38MM. R. Povoa
37MJúlio
20FP. Victor↓ 67'7.1
Coach: Umberto Louzer
Substitutes
12GEzequiel
2DR. Soares↓ 75'6.4
25DL. Fellipe
29DM. Camara
8MJuninho↓ 76'7.2
97MLourenço↓ 86'7.2
21MJ. Carlos↓ 70'6.8
10ML. Lima↓ 70'6.3
55MG. B. d. Camargo
Coach: Mozart Santos
Top stats
34%Possession66%
0.13Expected goals (xG)2.26
5Total shots19
2Shots on target7
0Big chances4
2Corners10
Shots
2Shots off target9
1Blocked shots3
1Shots inside box12
4Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork3
0Big chances missed4
1.53Goals prevented-0.57
Attack
5Touches in box21
51Final third entries80
0Offsides2
10Free kicks10
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
320Passes621
254Accurate passes558
24/49 (49%)Long balls31/50 (62%)
1/11 (9%)Crosses6/28 (21%)
17Throw-ins20
Duels
44Duels56
22/47 (47%)Ground duels25/47 (53%)
6/17 (35%)Aerial duels11/17 (65%)
2/5 (40%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
11Tackles8
73Tackles won50
13Interceptions7
29Clearances8
43Recoveries43
Discipline
11Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
7Saves2
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks7
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 63% · 1.53 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.40 @ Betsson
Who winsGoiás to win (DNB) 52% · 2.08 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 81% · 1.19 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.81 @ betfair
1X2Draw 33% · 3.00 @ merkurxtip
1X2Goiás to win 35% · 3.10 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ Unibet
1X2América-MG to win 33% · 2.86 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 62% · 1.60 @ BTI Sports
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.59
América Mineiro ▼
2.83
Draw ▼
2.82
Goiás ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
América Mineiro or Draw ▼
1.36
América Mineiro or Goiás ▼
1.42
Draw or Goiás ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.12
Yes ▲
1.62
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.12
Over 0.50
6.20
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.51
Over 1.50 ▼
2.38
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.62
Over 2.50 ▲
1.42
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.18
Over 3.50 ▲
1.12
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.23
Over 4.50 ▼
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.80
América Mineiro ▼
1.90
Goiás ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
6.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50 ▲
4.20
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50 ▼
2.84
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50 ▲
2.09
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.03
Over 10.50 ▲
1.69
Under 10.50 ▼
1.4 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 63% | 64% | 1.45 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 68% | 68% | 1.34 | Overpriced | medium |
| Goiás to win (DNB)Who wins | 52% | 52% | 1.8 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 81% | 82% | 1.14 | Overpriced | high |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 56% | 56% | 1.66 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 33% | 33% | 2.85 | Overpriced | low |
| Goiás to win1X2 | 35% | 35% | 2.68 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.71 | Overpriced | low |
| América-MG to win1X2 | 33% | 33% | 2.84 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 62% | 61% | 1.53 | Fair | medium |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: América-MG to win (DNB) — we say 60%, they say 48%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 66% | -4% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 42% | -5% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 18% | +1% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 48% | -4% | No |
| Home win | 33% | 43% | -10% | No |
| Draw | 33% | 30% | +3% | Yes |
| Away win | 35% | 27% | +8% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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