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Fábio Matias
Clube De Regatas Brasil
Vila Nova FC
Clube De Regatas Brasil
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Vila Nova FC
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
W. Formiga · Foul
13'
⚽
Bressan · assist D. Belmonte1–0
18'
⚽
Mikael · assist Thiaguinho2–0
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
Higor ◂ W. Formiga
46'
🔁
D. D. Santos ◂ H. Meritão
46'
🔁
Everton Galdino ◂ Dodô
62'
Breno · Foul
68'
🔁
Geovane ◂ Danielzinho
68'
🔁
D. Baggio ◂ Mikael
74'
🔁
Emerson Urso ◂ Marquinhos Gabriel
75'
🔁
Hayner ◂ I. Cariús
83'
🔁
Guilherme Pato ◂ Thiaguinho
83'
🔁
V. Barata ◂ D. Belmonte
88'
🔁
P. De Lucca ◂ P. Castro
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Guto Ferreira 
Recent form
WACeará1-0
WHNáutico2-1
DHGoiás2-2
LALondrina0-5
WABotafogo-SP1-0
WHFortaleza2-1
LACriciúma0-2
LAJuventude0-1
WHSão Bernardo2-1
LAGrêmio Novorizontino1-2
Where to watch
Canal GoatDisney+ESPNXsports
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Rei Pelé
City
Maceio
Referee
Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro
Kickoff
27 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
1
V. Caetano
7.5
2
Kevin
7.9
22
Bressan
7.9
33
Lyncon
7.1
36
L. Lovat
6.6
8
Crystopher
7.5
45
P. De Lucca
↑ 88'
20
V. Barata
6.7
↑ 83'
18
Geovane
6.9
↑ 68'
11
Guilherme Pato
6.6
↑ 83'
7
D. Baggio
6.4
↑ 68'
1
H. Leite
7.1
22
Hayner
6.6
↑ 75'
4
D. Mendes
6.1
23
Breno
6.2
6
Higor
7.0
↑ 46'
5
J. Vieira
6.6
15
D. D. Santos
6.6
↑ 46'
17
Everton Galdino
6.3
↑ 46'
70
Emerson Urso
6.5
↑ 74'
99
Janderson
6.5
49
Dellatorre
6.5
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.65Expected goals (xG)0.36
22Total shots11
10Shots on target4
2Big chances0
6Corners5
Shots
9Shots off target7
3Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box8
10Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
0.52Goals prevented-0.41
Attack
23Touches in box16
44Final third entries62
3Offsides0
14Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
358Passes450
293Accurate passes373
22/55 (40%)Long balls28/59 (47%)
4/12 (33%)Crosses7/24 (29%)
10Throw-ins19
Duels
61Duels39
34/55 (62%)Ground duels22/57 (39%)
9/16 (56%)Aerial duels7/15 (47%)
9/14 (64%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)
1Dispossessed5
Defending
11Tackles6
64Tackles won67
9Interceptions11
23Clearances16
47Recoveries35
Discipline
11Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves8
1Big saves4
9Goal kicks10
1Punches0
Forecast BSD engine
Who winsCRB to win (DNB) 70%
1X2CRB to win 52%
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50%
1X2Draw 26%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73%
BTTSBoth teams to score 52%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59%
1X2Vila Nova to win 22%
1.6 – 1.0Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB to win (DNB)Who wins | 70% | — | — | — | high |
| CRB to win1X2 | 52% | — | — | — | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 52% | — | — | — | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 63% | — | — | — | medium |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 50% | — | — | — | low |
| Draw1X2 | 26% | — | — | — | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 73% | — | — | — | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 52% | — | — | — | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 74% | — | — | — | high |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 59% | — | — | — | low |
| Vila Nova to win1X2 | 22% | — | — | — | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 66% | +8% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 42% | +8% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 18% | +9% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 48% | +4% | Yes |
| Home win | 52% | 43% | +9% | Yes |
| Draw | 26% | 30% | -4% | No |
| Away win | 22% | 27% | -5% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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