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Eduardo Baptista
Criciúma
Náutico
Criciúma
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Náutico
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
🔁
B. Borasi ◂ L. Felipe
30'
G. Henrique · Foul
40'
M. Ribeiro · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+1
🔁
Betão ◂ M. Ribeiro
46'
🔁
Wanderson ◂ G. Henrique
48'
Betão · Foul
59'
🔁
Nicolas ◂ E. Biasi
67'
🔁
J. Robert ◂ Waguininho
68'
🔁
Reginaldo ◂ Derek
68'
🔁
Auremir ◂ Samuel
68'
🔁
Diego Gonçalves ◂ R. Otero
82'
🔁
H. Alves ◂ Luciano Castan
82'
🔁
Ronald ◂ G. Lobo
Full-time · 0–0
90'
Wenderson · Foul
Coaches
Helio Dos Anjos 
Recent form
WAGrêmio Novorizontino1-0
WHVila Nova FC2-0
WAPonte Preta2-1
WHSport Recife1-0
WHSão Bernardo1-0
WHLondrina2-1
LAClube De Regatas Brasil1-2
LAAvaí0-2
DHJuventude0-0
LHGoiás0-1
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Heriberto Hülse
City
Criciúma
Referee
Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz
Kickoff
26 Jul, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
70
Pedro
7.6
37
C. Martins
7.0
3
R. Fagundes
7.5
31
H. Alves
6.5
↑ 82'
97
W. Lepo
6.6
9
Nicolas
6.5
↑ 59'
14
Ronald
6.5
↑ 82'
22
M. Hermes
6.9
77
Diego Gonçalves
6.4
↑ 68'
10
J. Robert
7.0
↑ 67'
7
F. Mateus
6.8
1
Muriel
7.4
2
Arnaldo
6.6
15
L. Índio
6.9
34
Wanderson
6.8
↑ 46'
3
Betão
7.0
↑ 45'
93
Reginaldo
6.9
↑ 68'
8
Wenderson
6.9
24
B. Borasi
6.4
↑ 20'
20
J. Carlos
6.7
5
Auremir
6.8
↑ 68'
19
K. Maranhão
6.5
Substitutes
1GAlisson
4DLuciano Castan↓ 82'7.1
34DB. Alves
8MG. Lobo↓ 82'6.9
5ME. Biasi↓ 59'6.7
11MRomarinho
50MT. R. S. Modesto
41MJean Irmer
91FR. Otero↓ 68'7.7
13FWaguininho↓ 67'6.8
21FJoão Carlos
88FCauê
Coach: Eduardo Baptista
Substitutes
55GG. Guruceaga
46DG. Henrique↓ 46'6.9
14DM. Ribeiro↓ 45'6.4
37DJ. Rikelme
41MSamuel↓ 68'6.9
27ML. Felipe↓ 20'6.6
11MV. Andrade
72FDerek↓ 68'6.7
16FL. Claudio
Coach: Helio Dos Anjos
Top stats
56%Possession44%
1.55Expected goals (xG)0.7
16Total shots12
5Shots on target4
5Big chances1
7Corners4
Shots
8Shots off target5
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box6
6Shots outside box6
2Hit woodwork0
5Big chances missed1
0.53Goals prevented0.38
Attack
25Touches in box14
59Final third entries55
2Offsides0
18Free kicks18
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
355Passes287
272Accurate passes186
29/66 (44%)Long balls21/69 (30%)
10/30 (33%)Crosses4/17 (24%)
23Throw-ins38
Duels
50Duels49
34/72 (47%)Ground duels38/73 (52%)
24/43 (56%)Aerial duels19/43 (44%)
8/20 (40%)Dribbles2/5 (40%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
9Tackles19
78Tackles won63
10Interceptions12
30Clearances27
49Recoveries39
Discipline
18Fouls18
0Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
2Big saves0
6Goal kicks12
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 46 bookmakers
Who winsCriciúma to win (DNB) 78% · 1.19 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.31 @ Betsson
1X2Criciúma to win 56% · 1.57 @ veikkaus
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.85 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.92 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.34 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 4.10 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
1X2Náutico to win 17% · 8.20 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.49
Criciúma
3.80
Draw
6.31
Náutico
Double Chanceconsensus
1.10
Criciúma or Draw
1.24
Criciúma or Náutico
2.42
Draw or Náutico
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.02
Yes
1.69
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50 ▼
9.12
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.26
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.96
Over 2.50
1.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.37
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.40
Over 4.50 ▼
1.12
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.17
Criciúma
4.64
Náutico
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.00
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50 ▲
10.00
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50 ▲
7.55
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
4.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50 ▼
3.20
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50 ▼
2.29
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.87
Over 10.50 ▼
1.81
Under 10.50 ▲
1.4 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~11Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma to win (DNB)Who wins | 78% | 78% | 1.2 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 59% | 59% | 1.55 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 71% | 71% | 1.3 | Overpriced | high |
| Criciúma to win1X2 | 56% | 56% | 1.6 | Overpriced | low |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 55% | 55% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 54% | 54% | 1.73 | Fair | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 75% | 74% | 1.25 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 27% | 27% | 3.33 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 70% | 70% | 1.33 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Náutico to win1X2 | 17% | 17% | 5.42 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Náutico to win (DNB) — we say 38%, they say 22%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 66% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 42% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 18% | +7% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 48% | -3% | No |
| Home win | 56% | 43% | +13% | Yes |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | -3% | No |
| Away win | 17% | 27% | -10% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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