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Mauricio Barbieri
Juventude
Avaí
Juventude
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Avaí
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
47'
Allyson · Foul
61'
🔁
Alan Kardec ◂ F. Lima
61'
🔁
Aderlan ◂ Nathan
62'
R. Sam · Foul
66'
🔁
Reynaldo ◂ Allyson
66'
🔁
P. Vitor ◂ Z. Ricardo
68'
🔁
L. M. Gonçalves ◂ M. Paulo
78'
🔁
D. Barbosa ◂ Patryck
78'
🔁
L. Alves ◂ A. Safira
82'
D. Penha · Argument
83'
🔁
W. Fernando ◂ J. Lucas
83'
🔁
G. Cipriano ◂ T. Roberth
Full-time · 1–0
90'+3
⚽
L. Alves · assist R. Sam1–0
90'+7
🔁
I. Pereira ◂ Wallison
Coaches
Mauricio BarbieriAllan Rodrigo Aal 
Recent form
JuventudeLABotafogo-SP2-4
WHCuiabá2-0
WHVila Nova FC1-0
DANáutico0-0
WHCeará2-0
AvaíWHAmérica Mineiro2-1
DASão Bernardo1-1
WHNáutico2-0
LABotafogo-SP1-3
LAAthletic Club0-1
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN 4SportyNetXsportsYouTube - SportyNet
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
City
Caxias do Sul
Referee
Lucas Casagrande
Kickoff
28 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Juventude
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Avaí
93
Jandrei
7.2
34
R. Sam
8.0
4
Messias
7.0
5
L. M. Gonçalves
6.6
↑ 68'
13
Aderlan
6.8
↑ 61'
75
Raí
7.6
8
L. Mineiro
6.9
72
L. Alves
7.4
↑ 78'
9
Alan Kardec
6.6
↑ 61'
16
D. Barbosa
6.9
↑ 78'
25
A. Safira
7.7
1
Igor
7.5
20
I. Pereira
↑ 90'
40
Reynaldo
6.1
↑ 66'
38
J. Maciel
6.2
36
D. Teixeira
6.5
25
P. Vitor
6.4
↑ 66'
8
L. Henrique
6.9
56
W. Fernando
6.3
↑ 83'
14
D. Penha
6.4
39
G. Cipriano
6.4
↑ 83'
9
L. Gamalho
6.8
Substitutes
12GP. Rocha
22DNathan↓ 61'6.8
3DTiti
97DGabriel
2DR. Ramos
30MPatryck↓ 78'7.0
17MM. Castro
26MI. Ly
7MPablo
11FF. Lima↓ 61'6.6
47FM. Paulo↓ 68'6.5
10FM. Paulo↓ 68'6.5
Coach: Mauricio Barbieri
Substitutes
21GOtávio
3DAllyson↓ 66'6.5
2DWallison↓ 90'6.2
66DM. Quaresma
4DG. P. Simples
77MZ. Ricardo↓ 66'6.5
43MT. Roberth↓ 83'6.4
10MJ. Lucas↓ 83'5.9
5MDel Piage
95MWenderson
11MSorriso
17FJ. S. R. Leandro
Coach: Allan Rodrigo Aal
Top stats
55%Possession45%
0.78Expected goals (xG)0.16
11Total shots8
6Shots on target0
1Big chances0
3Corners3
Shots
2Shots off target4
3Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box2
4Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
0.0Goals prevented0.82
Attack
19Touches in box12
73Final third entries77
1Offsides2
20Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
263Passes220
159Accurate passes112
24/70 (34%)Long balls13/74 (18%)
7/20 (35%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
25Throw-ins34
Duels
63Duels37
41/66 (62%)Ground duels26/67 (39%)
33/52 (63%)Aerial duels20/53 (38%)
4/11 (36%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
5Dispossessed10
Defending
19Tackles12
74Tackles won75
8Interceptions7
44Clearances39
46Recoveries51
Discipline
10Fouls20
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks9
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 31 bookmakers
Who winsJuventude to win (DNB) 76% · 1.24 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 60% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 59% · 1.69 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
1X2Juventude to win 55% · 1.72 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.20 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 28% · 3.41 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 64% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Avaí to win 17% · 6.23 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.68
Juventude ▼
3.15
Draw ▼
5.16
Avaí ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
Juventude or Draw ▼
1.28
Juventude or Avaí ▼
2.03
Draw or Avaí ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.24
Yes ▼
1.59
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.10
Over 0.50 ▼
7.00
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.46
Over 1.50 ▼
2.66
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.39
Over 2.50 ▼
1.55
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.53
Over 3.50 ▼
1.20
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.47
Over 4.50 ▼
1.05
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.20
Juventude ▼
3.92
Avaí ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.75
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50 ▲
9.70
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▲
6.15
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50 ▲
4.03
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50 ▼
2.72
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.65
Over 9.50 ▼
2.08
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50 ▼
1.68
Under 10.50 ▼
1.4 – 1.0Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude to win (DNB)Who wins | 76% | 76% | 1.23 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 60% | 61% | 1.52 | Overpriced | medium |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 59% | 59% | 1.57 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 56% | 56% | 1.66 | Overpriced | low |
| Juventude to win1X2 | 55% | 55% | 1.69 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 66% | 66% | 1.38 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 79% | 80% | 1.17 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 28% | 28% | 3.27 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 64% | 64% | 1.46 | Fair | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 55% | 55% | 1.69 | Overpriced | low |
| Avaí to win1X2 | 17% | 17% | 5.54 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Avaí to win (DNB) — we say 37%, they say 24%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 66% | -2% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 42% | -2% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 18% | +3% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 48% | -7% | No |
| Home win | 55% | 43% | +12% | Yes |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | -2% | No |
| Away win | 17% | 27% | -10% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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