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Márcio Zanardi
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
Athletic Club
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
Max · Argument
20'
L. Cunha · Argument
21'
⚽
Léo Gomes · assist Elvis1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
W. Aponzá ◂ G. Cabezas
49'
D. B. d. Souza · Foul
54'
🔁
Douglas ◂ D. B. d. Souza
58'
Diego Porfirio · Foul
60'
🔁
F. Negrucci ◂ J. P. Torres
67'
🔁
Miguel ◂ David
67'
⚽
Ian Luccas (pen)1–1
69'
🔁
Yarlen ◂ Max
69'
Jhonathan · Simulation
70'
🔁
D. Vera ◂ Carlinhos
76'
🔁
N. Silva ◂ Diego Porfirio
78'
🔁
◂ Yarlen
83'
Julio · Argument
83'
D. Vera · Argument
85'
André · Foul
86'
Ian Luccas · Argument
87'
🔁
R. de Souza ◂ D. Barcelos
87'
🔁
J. Damião ◂ Léo Gomes
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Márcio ZanardiAlexsandro de Souza 
Recent form
Ponte PretaLAOperário-PR2-3
LHGoiás1-2
LHCriciúma1-2
LAFortaleza0-2
LAAtlético Goianiense0-2
Athletic ClubWHSão Bernardo2-1
DAAtlético Goianiense0-0
DACeará0-0
LHOperário-PR0-1
WHAvaí1-0
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Moisés Lucarelli
City
Campinas
Referee
Gustavo Ervino Bauermann
Kickoff
28 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Ponte Preta
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
Athletic Club
30
Vinicius
6.8
23
S. Palacios
5.7
3
L. Cunha
7.4
5
R. de Souza
6.6
↑ 87'
2
Julio
6.9
9
J. Damião
6.5
↑ 87'
8
André
7.2
7
N. Silva
6.2
↑ 76'
32
Kevyson
6.9
10
Elvis
7.5
17
Miguel
6.4
↑ 67'
1
Luan Polli
6.7
2
Douglas
6.9
↑ 54'
3
Jhonathan
6.2
13
F. Negrucci
6.5
↑ 60'
23
Enzo
7.3
16
J. Miguel
6.8
7
Yarlen
6.6
↑ 69'
20
W. Aponzá
6.3
↑ 46'
5
Ian Luccas
7.2
17
K. Rodrigues
6.7
21
D. Vera
6.8
↑ 70'
Substitutes
1GG. Viana
13DDiego Porfirio↓ 76'6.6
14DD. Barcelos↓ 87'6.5
4DG. Almeida
16MLéo Gomes↓ 87'7.3
35MG. Telles
6MJuan
18FDavid↓ 67'6.9
Coach: Márcio Zanardi
Substitutes
12GG. Tadeu
22DD. B. d. Souza↓ 54'6.7
19DJ. P. Torres↓ 60'6.4
14DM. Henrique
6DZeca
4DL. Belezi
11MMax↓ 69'6.6
8MG. Cabezas↓ 46'6.5
18MP. Oliveira
15MJota
9FCarlinhos↓ 70'6.8
Coach: Alexsandro de Souza
Top stats
54%Possession46%
0.92Expected goals (xG)1.77
14Total shots12
6Shots on target4
1Big chances1
1Corners1
Shots
8Shots off target4
1Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
0.04Goals prevented0.29
Attack
13Touches in box19
82Final third entries49
0Offsides8
18Free kicks20
5Fouled in final third4
Passing
326Passes269
245Accurate passes189
35/76 (46%)Long balls17/56 (30%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses7/23 (30%)
15Throw-ins20
Duels
46Duels53
34/76 (45%)Ground duels42/76 (55%)
14/29 (48%)Aerial duels14/29 (48%)
8/12 (67%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
14Dispossessed5
Defending
10Tackles18
80Tackles won67
7Interceptions7
31Clearances24
54Recoveries51
Discipline
21Fouls18
4Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks16
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 30 bookmakers
Who winsAthletic to win (DNB) 65% · 1.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 10.5 corners 55% · 1.91 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 65% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 76% · 1.27 @ Betsson
1X2Athletic to win 45% · 2.10 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 61% · 1.57 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.20 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 30% · 3.28 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
1X2Ponte Preta to win 25% · 3.89 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.73
Ponte Preta ▼
3.11
Draw ▲
2.05
Athletic Club ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.68
Ponte Preta or Draw ▼
1.34
Ponte Preta or Athletic Club ▼
1.25
Draw or Athletic Club ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.06
Yes ▲
1.69
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.10
Over 0.50 ▼
7.00
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.47
Over 1.50 ▲
2.65
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.41
Over 2.50 ▼
1.54
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.60
Over 3.50 ▼
1.19
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.46
Over 4.50 ▼
1.05
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
2.57
Ponte Preta ▲
1.41
Athletic Club ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.50
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.01
Over 5.50 ▼
12.25
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.04
Over 6.50 ▲
8.50
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50 ▲
5.55
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.23
Over 8.50 ▲
3.53
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.48
Over 9.50 ▲
2.45
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.79
Over 10.50 ▲
1.90
Under 10.50 ▼
1.0 – 1.3Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~11Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic to win (DNB)Who wins | 65% | 65% | 1.44 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 10.5 cornersCorners | 55% | 55% | 1.68 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 65% | 65% | 1.41 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 76% | 76% | 1.22 | Overpriced | high |
| Athletic to win1X2 | 45% | 45% | 2.05 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 61% | 61% | 1.53 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 79% | 79% | 1.18 | Overpriced | high |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 55% | 55% | 1.69 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.08 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 64% | 64% | 1.45 | Overpriced | medium |
| Ponte Preta to win1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.79 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 10.5 corners — we say 55%, they say 45%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 66% | -2% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 42% | -3% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 18% | +3% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 48% | -3% | No |
| Home win | 25% | 43% | -18% | No |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 0% | No |
| Away win | 45% | 27% | +18% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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