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Gilmar Dal Pozzo
Sport Recife
Cuiabá
Sport Recife
4-4-1-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cuiabá
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
24'
P. Victor · Foul
33'
D. M. d. S. Arcanjo · Foul
33'
🔁
Diego Hernández ◂ P. Victor
Half-time · 0–0
53'
⚽
Perotti1–0
59'
🔁
Lorenzo ◂ Marlon
59'
🔁
K. Cristtyan ◂ R. Rodrigues
68'
🔁
Dudu ◂ Clayson
70'
🔁
L. Otavio ◂ D. M. d. S. Arcanjo
70'
🔁
Igor ◂ Railan
70'
🔁
P. Henrique ◂ J. Dias
71'
🔁
Y. Felipe ◂ B. Fonseca
75'
⚽
Fábio Gomes · assist K. Cristtyan1–1
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Gilmar Dal PozzoEduardo Barros 
Recent form
Sport RecifeDAGoiás1-1
DHOperário-PR2-2
DHBotafogo-SP3-3
LACriciúma0-1
LAFortaleza1-2
CuiabáLHAtlético Goianiense0-1
LAJuventude0-2
DASão Bernardo2-2
WHAmérica Mineiro1-0
DHLondrina2-2
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Ilha do Retiro
City
Recife
Referee
Lucas Canetto Bellote
Kickoff
27 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Sport Recife
4-4-1-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cuiabá
26
T. Couto
6.7
68
A. Pucci
7.1
5
Marcelo
7.4
28
Habraão
7.0
60
Felipinho
6.5
7
Y. Felipe
6.9
↑ 71'
23
Zé Gabriel
6.7
20
Diego Hernández
6.5
↑ 33'
77
Dudu
6.5
↑ 68'
30
C. Barletta
6.8
9
Perotti
7.3
31
M. Carné
6.5
13
J. Basso
6.7
5
C. Costa
6.7
33
A. Empereur
6.6
2
Igor
6.5
↑ 70'
30
Raul
7.4
97
L. Otavio
6.7
↑ 70'
36
Lorenzo
6.7
↑ 59'
96
P. Henrique
6.6
↑ 70'
41
K. Cristtyan
7.0
↑ 59'
90
Fábio Gomes
7.1
Substitutes
42GA. Adriano
1GHalls
33DK. Almeida
27DClaudinho
96DE. Lucas
3DM. Ajul
6MB. Fonseca↓ 71'7.2
25MClayson↓ 68'6.7
48MP. Victor↓ 33'6.6
54MAdriel
31MMarlon
99FZ. Roberto
Coach: Gilmar Dal Pozzo
Substitutes
1GJ. Carlos
4DVitor Mendes
37MRailan↓ 70'6.7
27MR. Rodrigues↓ 59'6.5
20MD. M. d. S. Arcanjo↓ 70'6.4
6MMarlon↓ 59'
70MWesley
77FJ. Dias↓ 70'6.3
29FV. Peixoto
11FEliel
Coach: Eduardo Barros
Top stats
68%Possession32%
0.65Expected goals (xG)0.63
17Total shots10
3Shots on target3
0Big chances1
8Corners11
Shots
5Shots off target5
9Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box6
11Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
-0.01Goals prevented-0.4
Attack
16Touches in box12
58Final third entries38
0Offsides2
10Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
506Passes223
435Accurate passes169
23/43 (53%)Long balls18/37 (49%)
7/29 (24%)Crosses8/32 (25%)
23Throw-ins22
Duels
52Duels48
25/56 (45%)Ground duels31/56 (55%)
17/25 (68%)Aerial duels8/25 (32%)
5/8 (63%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
13Dispossessed3
Defending
11Tackles16
82Tackles won56
7Interceptions10
39Clearances28
33Recoveries35
Discipline
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
2Big saves1
9Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 63% · 1.53 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 81% · 1.18 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.76 @ betfair
Who winsSport Recife to win (DNB) 66% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 31% · 3.10 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.90 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
1X2Sport Recife to win 45% · 2.23 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Novibet
1X2Cuiabá to win 23% · 4.40 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 62% · 1.59 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.04
Sport Recife
2.94
Draw ▼
3.93
Cuiabá ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Sport Recife or Draw ▼
1.36
Sport Recife or Cuiabá
1.70
Draw or Cuiabá
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.15
Yes ▲
1.63
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.12
Over 0.50 ▲
6.38
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50 ▲
2.44
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.55
Over 2.50 ▲
1.46
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.98
Over 3.50 ▲
1.15
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.88
Over 4.50 ▼
1.04
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.42
Sport Recife
2.72
Cuiabá
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.25
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
9.10
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50 ▼
5.38
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50 ▼
3.40
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50 ▲
2.40
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50 ▲
1.85
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.31
Over 10.50 ▼
1.52
Under 10.50 ▼
1.1 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 63% | 64% | 1.46 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 81% | 81% | 1.15 | Overpriced | high |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 57% | 57% | 1.63 | Overpriced | low |
| Sport Recife to win (DNB)Who wins | 66% | 66% | 1.42 | Overpriced | medium |
| Draw1X2 | 31% | 31% | 2.94 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.49 | Overpriced | medium |
| Sport Recife to win1X2 | 45% | 45% | 2.04 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.53 | Overpriced | medium |
| Cuiabá to win1X2 | 23% | 23% | 3.93 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 62% | 62% | 1.5 | Overpriced | medium |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Cuiabá to win (DNB) — we say 51%, they say 34%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 66% | -4% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 42% | -5% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 18% | +1% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 48% | -5% | No |
| Home win | 45% | 43% | +2% | Yes |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | +1% | Yes |
| Away win | 23% | 27% | -4% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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