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Enderson Moreira
Grêmio Novorizontino
Juventude
Grêmio Novorizontino
3-4-3 · 3-4-3
Juventude
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
79432 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
50.1%
-46.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
32.5%
+32.4 vs price
Draw
28.0 · implied 3.6%
17.7%
+14.1 vs price
Half time
1004 EUR · live
Away
10.5 · implied 9.5%
51.4%
+41.8 vs price
Draw
1.18 · implied 84.7%
27.6%
-57.2 vs price
Home
9.4 · implied 10.6%
20.9%
+10.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
31671 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.1%
-11.9 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
12.9%
+12.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1504 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
87.8%
-10.2 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
12.1%
+10.1 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
21'
E. Moreira · Argument
33'
L. Mineiro · Foul
35'
Titi · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
L. M. Gonçalves ◂ L. Mineiro
46'
🔁
Tavinho ◂ C. Ortíz
46'
🔁
L. Amarilla ◂ F. Lima
46'
🔁
D. Barbosa ◂ Patryck
54'
⚽
Raí0–1
59'
Aderlan · Time wasting
61'
🔁
Juninho ◂ M. Bianqui
61'
🔁
Carlão ◂ M. Jesus
61'
Gabriel · Foul
68'
🔁
G. Pires ◂ Raí
71'
🔁
Wadson ◂ M. Paulo
80'
🔁
Sander ◂ E. Brock
82'
🔁
J. Lora ◂ Reidiney
83'
L. M. Gonçalves · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
90'+5
Patrick · Foul
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri 
Recent form
WALondrina4-1
LHCriciúma0-1
LAFortaleza0-1
LAOperário-PR1-2
WHAtlético Goianiense3-0
LHAtlético Mineiro0-1
DAAtlético Mineiro0-0
WHAvaí1-0
LABotafogo-SP2-4
WHCuiabá2-0
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
City
Novo Horizonte
Referee
Kickoff
09 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
93
Jordi
6.5
22
A. Alvariño
6.9
5
Sander
6.7
↑ 80'
4
Patrick
6.9
24
J. Lora
6.8
↑ 82'
50
Juninho
6.9
↑ 61'
6
Luís Oyama
6.4
9
Carlão
6.5
↑ 61'
10
Rômulo
8.2
11
Robson
6.7
15
Tavinho
6.7
↑ 46'
93
Jandrei
9.2
97
Gabriel
6.7
3
Titi
6.9
6
Wadson
6.9
↑ 71'
13
Aderlan
7.3
16
D. Barbosa
7.0
↑ 46'
29
G. Pires
6.6
↑ 68'
5
L. M. Gonçalves
7.1
↑ 46'
18
L. Amarilla
6.2
↑ 46'
25
A. Safira
6.5
10
M. Paulo
7.0
Substitutes
31GCésar
14DE. Brock↓ 80'7.2
66DM. Jesus↓ 61'6.8
3DCarlinhos
41MReidiney↓ 82'7.0
17MM. Bianqui↓ 61'6.5
28MMarlon
77MHélio Borges
18ML. Naldi
8FC. Ortíz↓ 46'6.4
27FD. Mathias
30FN. Careca
Coach: Enderson Moreira
Substitutes
21GR. Carneiro
12GP. Rocha
75MRaí↓ 68'7.9
8ML. Mineiro↓ 46'7.1
30MPatryck↓ 46'6.5
7MPablo
11FF. Lima↓ 46'6.2
17FM. Castro
9FAlan Kardec
72FL. Alves
Coach: Mauricio Barbieri
Top stats
54%Possession46%
0.79Expected goals (xG)0.85
15Total shots10
4Shots on target1
0Big chances1
8Corners6
Shots
7Shots off target6
4Blocked shots3
8Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances missed1
-0.54Goals prevented0.97
Attack
15Touches in box12
62Final third entries60
1Offsides1
17Free kicks19
7Fouled in final third4
Passing
368Passes325
293Accurate passes243
18/42 (43%)Long balls28/69 (41%)
6/29 (21%)Crosses3/14 (21%)
21Throw-ins26
Duels
50Duels50
36/76 (47%)Ground duels40/76 (53%)
18/31 (58%)Aerial duels13/31 (42%)
3/9 (33%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
9Dispossessed8
Defending
16Tackles15
63Tackles won53
7Interceptions5
18Clearances35
48Recoveries52
Discipline
19Fouls17
1Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
0Big saves3
13Goal kicks10
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 32 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 62% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.44 @ Betway
BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 80% · 1.19 @ Novibet
Who winsNovorizontino to win (DNB) 66% · 1.41 @ Bwin
1X2Draw 31% · 3.30 @ Betway
1X2Novorizontino to win 46% · 2.00 @ Bwin
1X2Juventude to win 23% · 5.00 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 63% · 1.53 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.83
Grêmio Novorizontino ▼
2.96
Draw ▼
4.02
Juventude ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.18
Grêmio Novorizontino or Draw ▼
1.34
Grêmio Novorizontino or Juventude
1.78
Draw or Juventude ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.19
Yes ▲
1.60
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50
6.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50
2.55
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.53
Over 2.50
1.50
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.88
Over 3.50
1.18
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.62
Over 4.50 ▲
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.34
Grêmio Novorizontino ▼
3.04
Juventude ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
10.30
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.75
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.65
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.08
Over 10.50
1.66
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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