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Umberto Louzer
América Mineiro
Athletic Club
América Mineiro
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-3
Athletic Club
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
40835 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
56.6%
-42.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
30.3%
+30.2 vs price
Draw
130.0 · implied 0.8%
13.3%
+12.5 vs price
Half time
639 EUR · live
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
49.3%
-45.0 vs price
Draw
15.0 · implied 6.7%
41.9%
+35.3 vs price
Home
8.4 · implied 11.9%
8.6%
-3.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
17113 EUR · live
Under
2.34 · implied 42.7%
74.8%
+32.1 vs price
Over
1.8 · implied 55.6%
25.5%
-30.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3226 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.3%
-2.7 vs price
Over
160.0 · implied 0.6%
3.7%
+3.0 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–1
45'
⚽
K. Rodrigues · assist Max0–1
52'
⚽
L. Sosa0–2
56'
Enzo · Foul
57'
🔁
Barreto ◂ F. Amaral
57'
🔁
J. R. Jiménez ◂ Y. Souza
58'
Douglas · Unallowed field entering
58'
🔁
Douglas ◂ Zeca
66'
⚽
Carlinhos · assist Jota0–3
68'
🔁
G. Mastriani ◂ W. Bigode
69'
🔁
I. Charbaje ◂ R. Piñeiro
73'
🔁
Gustavinho ◂ Carlinhos
73'
🔁
Y. Santos ◂ Jota
73'
🔁
M. Henrique ◂ Enzo
78'
Barreto · Foul
79'
🔁
Assis ◂ Max
84'
🔁
Fábio ◂ A. Silva
86'
⚽
G. Mastriani · assist G. Parede1–3
Full-time · 1–3
Coaches
Umberto LouzerAlexsandro de Souza 
Recent form
América MineiroLABotafogo-SP1-2
WHGoiás1-0
LAAvaí1-2
DHCeará1-1
DHLondrina1-1
Athletic ClubWHCriciúma2-0
DAPonte Preta1-1
WHSão Bernardo2-1
DAAtlético Goianiense0-0
DACeará0-0
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Independência
City
Belo Horizonte
Kickoff
16 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
América Mineiro
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-3
Athletic Club
1
Gustavo
6.3
31
Fábio
6.8
↑ 84'
45
R. Silva
6.4
3
L. Sosa
5.6
29
Dalbert
6.2
93
J. R. Jiménez
6.5
↑ 57'
39
I. Charbaje
6.3
↑ 69'
88
Barreto
6.5
↑ 57'
20
P. Victor
6.1
7
G. Parede
6.7
17
G. Mastriani
7.5
↑ 68'
1
Luan Polli
7.0
3
Jhonathan
6.9
4
L. Belezi
7.0
19
J. P. Torres
6.9
2
Douglas
6.1
↑ 58'
14
M. Henrique
6.2
↑ 73'
16
J. Miguel
6.4
18
Y. Santos
6.9
↑ 73'
17
K. Rodrigues
7.1
10
Gustavinho
6.4
↑ 73'
22
Assis
6.3
↑ 79'
Substitutes
19GWilliam
15DA. Silva↓ 84'6.1
32DF. P. Dahora
4DR. Barcelos
25DT. Ostchega
26DManoel
8MF. Amaral↓ 57'6.5
10MY. Souza↓ 57'6.3
11MG. Barros
5MF. Elizari
9FW. Bigode↓ 68'7.2
14FR. Piñeiro↓ 69'6.1
Coach: Umberto Louzer
Substitutes
12GTony
23DEnzo↓ 73'6.9
6DZeca↓ 58'6.6
13DF. Vieira
15MJota↓ 73'7.4
21MD. Vera
7MBruninho
8MG. Cabezas
5MK. Lindes
11FMax↓ 79'7.1
9FCarlinhos↓ 73'7.0
20FW. Aponzá
Coach: Alexsandro de Souza
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.68Expected goals (xG)1.41
21Total shots14
6Shots on target6
1Big chances2
6Corners4
Shots
10Shots off target6
5Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box9
12Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed0
-1.52Goals prevented0.03
Attack
15Touches in box13
49Final third entries62
2Offsides1
11Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
436Passes405
367Accurate passes336
26/60 (43%)Long balls17/48 (35%)
5/20 (25%)Crosses6/13 (46%)
27Throw-ins25
Duels
50Duels50
24/46 (52%)Ground duels22/46 (48%)
13/28 (46%)Aerial duels15/28 (54%)
2/10 (20%)Dribbles2/4 (50%)
4Dispossessed9
Defending
11Tackles12
73Tackles won58
9Interceptions7
17Clearances26
40Recoveries34
Discipline
11Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks10
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 63% · 1.08 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.35 @ Betsson
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 81% · 1.02 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.75 @ betfair
1X2Draw 32% · 2.28 @ Unibet
1X2Athletic to win 30% · 3.90 @ fonbet
Who winsAmérica-MG to win (DNB) 57% · 1.70 @ merkurxtip
1X2América-MG to win 38% · 3.04 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.79 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 63% · 1.62 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.35
América Mineiro
2.85
Draw
3.22
Athletic Club
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
América Mineiro or Draw
1.38
América Mineiro or Athletic Club
1.54
Draw or Athletic Club
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.14
Yes
1.63
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50
6.50
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.52
Over 1.50
2.37
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.65
Over 2.50
1.43
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.39
Over 3.50
1.14
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
11.85
Over 4.50
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.62
América Mineiro
2.22
Athletic Club
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.25
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.85
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.96
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50
2.12
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.72
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✗
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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