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Daniel Paulista
Ceará
Cuiabá
Ceará
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cuiabá
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
49144 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.4%
-21.6 vs price
Home
120.0 · implied 0.8%
14.4%
+13.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.2%
+8.1 vs price
Half time
705 EUR · live
Draw
1.52 · implied 65.8%
46.5%
-19.3 vs price
Away
6.2 · implied 16.1%
34.2%
+18.0 vs price
Home
4.6 · implied 21.7%
19.1%
-2.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
12114 EUR · live
Under
1.98 · implied 50.5%
68.1%
+17.6 vs price
Over
2.0 · implied 50.0%
32.3%
-17.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1107 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.0%
-7.0 vs price
Over
60.0 · implied 1.7%
7.9%
+6.2 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
🔁
J. Carlos ◂ M. Carné
41'
⚽
J. Dias · assist Eliel0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
D. M. d. S. Arcanjo ◂ Pepê
46'
🔁
Melk ◂ Vina
46'
🔁
L. Mugni ◂ G. Pavani
54'
⚽
C. Costa0–2
58'
🔁
R. López ◂ N. Ferreira
58'
🔁
E. Lodovico ◂ Rafael Ramos
59'
Richardson · Foul
67'
🔁
M. Araújo ◂ Giulio
69'
C. Costa · Foul
70'
⚽
E. Lodovico · assist L. Holanda1–2
71'
🔁
K. Cristtyan ◂ Eliel
80'
🔁
R. Rodrigues ◂ J. Dias
80'
🔁
Weverson ◂ Lorenzo
87'
🔁
Kauã ◂ E. Lodovico
88'
🔁
V. Peixoto ◂ P. Henrique
Full-time · 1–3
90'+2
Éder · Foul
90'+7
⚽
K. Cristtyan · assist R. Rodrigues1–3
Coaches
Daniel PaulistaEduardo Barros 
Recent form
CearáWHPonte Preta2-0
WASão Bernardo4-3
LHClube De Regatas Brasil0-1
DAAmérica Mineiro1-1
DHAthletic Club0-0
CuiabáDHFortaleza1-1
DASport Recife1-1
LHAtlético Goianiense0-1
LAJuventude0-2
DASão Bernardo2-2
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
City
Fortaleza
Kickoff
15 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Ceará
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cuiabá
1
Richard
6.0
60
E. Lodovico
7.6
↑ 58'
18
Júlio César
6.3
33
Éder
6.1
6
Sávio
5.3
11
L. Mugni
6.7
↑ 46'
26
Richardson
6.4
7
R. López
7.0
↑ 58'
40
Melk
6.7
↑ 46'
8
M. Araújo
6.7
↑ 67'
99
L. Holanda
7.1
1
J. Carlos
7.7
↑ 6'
13
J. Basso
6.2
5
C. Costa
7.4
4
Vitor Mendes
6.6
2
Igor
7.2
30
Raul
6.6
20
D. M. d. S. Arcanjo
7.0
↑ 46'
53
Weverson
7.0
↑ 80'
41
K. Cristtyan
7.5
↑ 71'
27
R. Rodrigues
7.2
↑ 80'
29
V. Peixoto
6.5
↑ 88'
Substitutes
22GMatheus Nogueira
2DRafael Ramos↓ 58'6.4
12DSánchez
13DL. Otávio
71DG. Rocha
21MG. Pavani↓ 46'6.9
20MN. Ferreira↓ 58'6.6
29MVina↓ 46'6.3
35MGiulio↓ 67'6.2
88MJ. W. Neto
90FKauã↑ 87'6.5
Coach: Daniel Paulista
Substitutes
31GM. Carné↓ 6'
36DLorenzo↓ 80'6.2
91DLuisão
8MPepê↓ 46'6.9
37MRailan
97ML. Otavio
77FJ. Dias↓ 80'8.1
11FEliel↓ 71'7.1
96FP. Henrique↓ 88'6.6
39FG. Mansano
Coach: Eduardo Barros
Top stats
64%Possession36%
0.33Expected goals (xG)2.23
7Total shots13
3Shots on target5
0Big chances3
4Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target8
0Blocked shots0
4Shots inside box9
3Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed1
-0.67Goals prevented0.9
Attack
15Touches in box19
65Final third entries49
1Offsides2
13Free kicks17
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
489Passes268
422Accurate passes199
19/35 (54%)Long balls20/59 (34%)
4/22 (18%)Crosses7/16 (44%)
25Throw-ins12
Duels
46Duels54
31/73 (42%)Ground duels42/73 (58%)
19/36 (53%)Aerial duels17/36 (47%)
9/25 (36%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
9Tackles20
33Tackles won75
6Interceptions9
13Clearances40
36Recoveries50
Discipline
17Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves2
9Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 67% · 1.09 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 84% · 1.15 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.43 @ Betway
BTTSBTTS: No 59% · 1.67 @ betfair
1X2Draw 33% · 2.20 @ tipico
Who winsCeará to win (DNB) 61% · 1.65 @ merkurxtip
1X2Ceará to win 41% · 2.85 @ efbet.net
1X2Cuiabá to win 26% · 4.05 @ marathonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.79 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 59% · 4.05 @ goldbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.23
Ceará ▼
2.84
Draw
3.55
Cuiabá ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.27
Ceará or Draw
1.38
Ceará or Cuiabá ▼
1.59
Draw or Cuiabá ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.32
Yes
1.55
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.14
Over 0.50
5.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.60
Over 1.50
2.23
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.84
Over 2.50 ▲
1.38
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.79
Over 3.50 ▲
1.11
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
13.13
Over 4.50 ▼
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.53
Ceará
2.42
Cuiabá
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
9.90
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.50
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
4.15
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.86
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50
2.12
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.03
Over 10.50 ▲
1.69
Under 10.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✗
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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