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Márcio Zanardi
Ponte Preta
Náutico
Ponte Preta
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Náutico
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
124759 EUR · live
Away
3.35 · implied 29.9%
49.4%
+19.5 vs price
Home
5.4 · implied 18.5%
40.4%
+21.8 vs price
Draw
1.95 · implied 51.3%
10.2%
-41.0 vs price
Half time
5627 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
38.6%
-59.4 vs price
Draw
21.0 · implied 4.8%
33.3%
+28.5 vs price
Away
300.0 · implied 0.3%
28.1%
+27.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
79273 EUR · live
Under
2.28 · implied 43.9%
77.9%
+34.0 vs price
Over
1.77 · implied 56.5%
22.1%
-34.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
12561 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.1%
-4.9 vs price
Over
130.0 · implied 0.8%
5.9%
+5.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
⚽
Brandão · assist David1–0
44'
L. Índio · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'+1
B. Borasi · Foul
46'
D. Leão · Foul
46'
🔁
P. Núñez ◂ L. Índio
46'
🔁
Ryan ◂ I. Fernandes
54'
André · Foul
59'
Arnaldo · Foul
60'
🔁
L. Claudio ◂ K. Maranhão
65'
⚽
B. Borasi1–1
67'
P. Núñez · Foul
76'
🔁
Wanderson ◂ G. Henrique
76'
🔁
Miguel ◂ Juan
79'
🔁
Reginaldo ◂ Arnaldo
82'
🔁
G. Telles ◂ Brandão
83'
P. Núñez · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
Betão · Professional foul last man
90'+3
🔁
M. Souza ◂ David
90'+3
🔁
J. Damião ◂ G. Almeida
90'+6
M. Souza · Foul
Coaches
Márcio ZanardiHelio Dos Anjos 
Recent form
Ponte PretaLACeará0-2
DHAthletic Club1-1
LAOperário-PR2-3
LHGoiás1-2
LHCriciúma1-2
NáuticoDHAtlético Goianiense1-1
DACriciúma0-0
WHLondrina2-1
LACRB1-2
LAAvaí0-2
Where to watch
Disney+ESPNSportyNetXsportsYouTube - SportyNet
Match facts
Stadium
Moisés Lucarelli
City
Campinas
Referee
Kickoff
14 Aug, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Ponte Preta
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Náutico
30
Vinicius
6.4
23
S. Palacios
7.3
4
D. Leão
6.8
13
M. Souza
↑ 90'
17
Miguel
6.3
↑ 76'
8
André
6.7
16
Léo Gomes
6.3
26
Baianinho
7.3
9
J. Damião
↑ 90'
10
Elvis
6.8
35
G. Telles
6.5
↑ 82'
1
Muriel
6.5
93
Reginaldo
6.8
↑ 79'
3
Betão
6.7
34
Wanderson
6.8
↑ 76'
6
Ryan
7.1
↑ 46'
8
Wenderson
7.1
22
P. Núñez
6.2
↑ 46'
10
J. Carlos
6.5
24
B. Borasi
7.6
16
L. Claudio
6.4
↑ 60'
72
Derek
6.6
Substitutes
1GG. Viana
44DG. Almeida↓ 90'6.2
2DGabriel
6MJuan↓ 76'6.8
32MC. V. N. d. Nascimento
21FBrandão↓ 82'7.7
18FDavid↓ 90'6.6
Coach: Márcio Zanardi
Substitutes
55GG. Guruceaga
2DArnaldo↓ 79'7.4
46DG. Henrique↓ 76'6.9
23DI. Fernandes↓ 46'6.5
37DJ. Rikelme
15ML. Índio↓ 46'6.7
5MAuremir
41MSamuel
88MCaio
19FK. Maranhão↓ 60'6.3
Coach: Helio Dos Anjos
Top stats
37%Possession63%
1.18Expected goals (xG)1.79
14Total shots14
6Shots on target4
3Big chances5
6Corners6
Shots
6Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
8Shots inside box10
6Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed4
0.13Goals prevented-0.21
Attack
19Touches in box25
59Final third entries55
0Offsides2
17Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
216Passes361
137Accurate passes273
21/61 (34%)Long balls27/63 (43%)
5/18 (28%)Crosses6/23 (26%)
21Throw-ins29
Duels
46Duels54
41/84 (49%)Ground duels43/84 (51%)
15/38 (39%)Aerial duels23/38 (61%)
6/19 (32%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
7Dispossessed12
Defending
19Tackles20
58Tackles won65
10Interceptions6
49Clearances24
47Recoveries52
Discipline
17Fouls17
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
9Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
Who winsNáutico to win (DNB) 65% · 1.49 @ forbet
1X2Náutico to win 47% · 2.43 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.65 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.37 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.83 @ efbet.net
1X2Draw 27% · 2.52 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.04 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 2.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.41 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Pinnacle
1X2Ponte Preta to win 25% · 4.30 @ tipico
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.90
Ponte Preta
3.28
Draw
1.89
Náutico
Double Chanceconsensus
1.76
Ponte Preta or Draw
1.29
Ponte Preta or Náutico
1.21
Draw or Náutico
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes ▲
1.80
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50 ▲
8.07
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.07
Over 2.50
1.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.70
Over 3.50
1.23
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50 ▲
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.79
Ponte Preta ▲
1.38
Náutico
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.48
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.65
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.85
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.59
Over 9.50
2.16
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.98
Over 10.50
1.72
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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