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Gilmar Dal Pozzo
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Londrina
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
62166 EUR · live
Home
1.33 · implied 75.2%
74.6%
-0.6 vs price
Away
14.0 · implied 7.1%
16.5%
+9.3 vs price
Draw
5.5 · implied 18.2%
9.0%
-9.2 vs price
Half time
490 EUR
Home
2.36 · implied 42.4%
52.8%
+10.5 vs price
Away
6.2 · implied 16.1%
37.5%
+21.4 vs price
Draw
2.38 · implied 42.0%
21.8%
-20.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
16410 EUR · live
Over
1.53 · implied 65.4%
58.4%
-7.0 vs price
Under
2.82 · implied 35.5%
41.6%
+6.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
108 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
50.0%
-39.3 vs price
Over
8.8 · implied 11.4%
49.1%
+37.7 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
Diego Hernández · assist Clayson1–0
14'
VAR
Goal check · Diego Hernández
30'
⚽
J. Vitor · assist K. Leonardo1–1
42'
🔁
Marlon ◂ C. Barletta
43'
⚽
Diego Hernández · assist Clayson2–1
Half-time · 2–1
53'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · Marlon
53'
R. Micale · Argument
53'
R. Micale · Argument
69'
🔁
Gilberto ◂ William Pottker
69'
🔁
G. Portuga ◂ J. Tavares
69'
🔁
P. Dyego ◂ Vitinho
70'
🔁
J. Alano ◂ Diego Hernández
70'
🔁
Dudu ◂ Clayson
77'
🔁
Kevyn ◂ Heron
82'
🔁
Marcelo ◂ Claudinho
82'
🔁
B. Fonseca ◂ Perotti
88'
🔁
Raí Nascimento ◂ L. Marques
Full-time · 2–1
90'+3
Felipinho · Time wasting
Coaches
Rogério Micale 
Recent form
WAVila Nova FC1-0
DHCuiabá1-1
DAGoiás1-1
DHOperário-PR2-2
DHBotafogo-SP3-3
LAGoiás0-1
LHGrêmio Novorizontino1-4
LANáutico1-2
DHBotafogo-SP0-0
DAAmérica Mineiro1-1
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Ilha do Retiro
City
Recife
Kickoff
14 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
26
T. Couto
6.8
5
Marcelo
6.6
↑ 82'
3
M. Ajul
6.8
33
K. Almeida
6.9
60
Felipinho
6.9
23
Zé Gabriel
6.9
29
W. Oliveira
7.1
31
Marlon
6.7
↑ 42'
8
J. Alano
6.8
↑ 70'
77
Dudu
6.2
↑ 70'
6
B. Fonseca
6.6
↑ 82'
30
Kozlinski
6.4
75
K. Leonardo
7.1
99
Y. Lincoln
6.5
15
G. Lacerda
6.8
33
Kevyn
6.6
↑ 77'
28
Raí Nascimento
6.5
↑ 88'
11
P. Dyego
6.4
↑ 69'
55
G. Portuga
6.4
↑ 70'
22
J. Vitor
7.6
18
P. Moccelin
6.4
9
Gilberto
6.5
↑ 69'
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.04Expected goals (xG)0.95
12Total shots17
4Shots on target4
2Big chances0
1Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target4
1Blocked shots9
7Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
0.29Goals prevented-0.66
Attack
20Touches in box23
54Final third entries59
2Offsides0
13Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third5
Passing
446Passes418
391Accurate passes355
23/46 (50%)Long balls30/49 (61%)
5/11 (45%)Crosses7/23 (30%)
13Throw-ins28
Duels
45Duels55
32/69 (46%)Ground duels37/69 (54%)
11/27 (41%)Aerial duels16/27 (59%)
3/14 (21%)Dribbles10/18 (56%)
6Dispossessed9
Defending
17Tackles17
65Tackles won65
7Interceptions4
24Clearances14
42Recoveries41
Discipline
11Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks11
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 54% · 1.80 @ Betway
CornersOver 9.5 corners 65% · 1.50 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 75% · 1.23 @ Betsson
Who winsSport Recife to win (DNB) 75% · 1.37 @ merkurxtip
1X2Sport Recife to win 57% · 2.10 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.96 @ mansion
1X2Draw 25% · 2.69 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 1.93 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ betfair
1X2Londrina to win 18% · 5.20 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.64
Sport Recife
3.58
Draw ▲
5.15
Londrina ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.14
Sport Recife or Draw ▼
1.26
Sport Recife or Londrina ▼
2.13
Draw or Londrina ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes ▼
1.85
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.33
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▼
3.40
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50 ▼
1.84
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.22
Over 3.50 ▼
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.23
Over 4.50 ▲
1.12
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.23
Sport Recife
3.83
Londrina ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.01
Over 5.50
12.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.04
Over 6.50
8.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.78
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.22
Over 8.50
3.78
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.42
Over 9.50
2.62
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.71
Over 10.50 ▼
2.02
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.09
Over 11.50 ▼
1.66
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Sport Recife to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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