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Helio Dos Anjos
Náutico
Ceará
Náutico
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Ceará
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
78722 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
79.3%
-18.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.1%
+15.0 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
6.8%
+3.8 vs price
Half time
2531 EUR · live
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
57.6%
+56.6 vs price
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
26.1%
-72.9 vs price
Away
22.0 · implied 4.5%
16.4%
+11.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
58596 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.2%
-20.8 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
21.8%
+20.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6091 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.9%
-4.1 vs price
Over
190.0 · implied 0.5%
5.1%
+4.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
38'
VAR
Goal not given after review · Derek
Half-time · 1–0
45'+2
K. Maranhão · Foul
45'+9
⚽
L. Índio · assist J. Carlos1–0
46'
🔁
Giulio ◂ Rafael Ramos
46'
🔁
L. Mugni ◂ L. Holanda
46'
🔁
Matheus Nogueira ◂ Richard
62'
🔁
M. Araújo ◂ Melk
66'
🔁
Vinícius ◂ B. Borasi
66'
🔁
Wanderson ◂ Ryan
68'
Reginaldo · Foul
71'
🔁
V. Andrade ◂ Derek
71'
🔁
Auremir ◂ Samuel
71'
🔁
Caio ◂ Wenderson
79'
Caio · Foul
80'
M. Araújo · Foul
83'
🔁
A. B. d. A. Neto ◂ Júlio César
84'
D. Paulista · Argument
85'
Wanderson · Foul
87'
J. Carlos · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
90'+2
V. Andrade · Foul
Coaches
Helio Dos AnjosDaniel Paulista 
Recent form
NáuticoDAPonte Preta1-1
DHAtlético Goianiense1-1
DACriciúma0-0
WHLondrina2-1
LAClube De Regatas Brasil1-2
CearáLHCuiabá1-3
WHPonte Preta2-0
WASão Bernardo4-3
LHClube De Regatas Brasil0-1
DAAmérica Mineiro1-1
Where to watch
GE TVPremiereSportv
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio dos Aflitos
City
Recife
Kickoff
19 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Náutico
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Ceará
1
Muriel
8.5
93
Reginaldo
7.4
15
L. Índio
8.7
23
I. Fernandes
7.8
34
Wanderson
6.7
↑ 66'
88
Caio
6.7
↑ 71'
11
V. Andrade
6.5
↑ 71'
5
Auremir
6.7
↑ 71'
10
J. Carlos
7.4
7
Vinícius
6.7
↑ 66'
19
K. Maranhão
5.9
22
Matheus Nogueira
7.9
↑ 46'
11
L. Mugni
7.0
↑ 46'
4
L. Otávio
71
G. Rocha
6.7
6
Sávio
7.3
8
M. Araújo
6.4
↑ 62'
86
A. B. d. A. Neto
7.0
↑ 83'
81
J. Gabriel
6.5
20
N. Ferreira
6.9
7
R. López
6.6
35
Giulio
6.6
↑ 46'
Substitutes
55GG. Guruceaga
6DRyan↓ 66'8.0
37DJ. Rikelme
75DSilva
48DGuilherme
13DG. Índio
8MWenderson↓ 71'7.9
41MSamuel↓ 71'6.7
24MB. Borasi↓ 66'6.1
18MHalan
72FDerek↓ 71'8.0
16FL. Claudio
Coach: Helio Dos Anjos
Substitutes
1GRichard↓ 46'9.9
41GG. D. Martins
18DJúlio César↓ 83'7.7
2DRafael Ramos↓ 46'7.1
12DSánchez
40MMelk↓ 62'7.3
88MJ. W. Neto
21MG. Pavani
26MRichardson
99FL. Holanda↓ 46'6.7
90FKauã
Coach: Daniel Paulista
Top stats
51%Possession49%
2.64Expected goals (xG)1.57
30Total shots13
14Shots on target4
3Big chances2
9Corners3
Shots
9Shots off target5
7Blocked shots4
20Shots inside box9
10Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed2
1.33Goals prevented2.57
Attack
39Touches in box15
65Final third entries83
1Offsides2
13Free kicks22
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
377Passes362
297Accurate passes264
22/54 (41%)Long balls36/73 (49%)
6/24 (25%)Crosses5/20 (25%)
23Throw-ins20
Duels
44Duels56
34/79 (43%)Ground duels45/79 (57%)
24/53 (45%)Aerial duels29/53 (55%)
7/12 (58%)Dribbles11/20 (55%)
10Dispossessed5
Defending
14Tackles15
71Tackles won67
6Interceptions10
31Clearances30
59Recoveries46
Discipline
22Fouls13
6Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves12
2Big saves3
11Goal kicks15
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 58 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.15 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 31% · 2.44 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.03 @ 888Sport
Who winsNáutico to win (DNB) 62% · 1.60 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 2.00 @ betfred
1X2Náutico to win 43% · 2.62 @ merkurxtip
1X2Ceará to win 26% · 4.07 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.46 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56%
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.22
Náutico ▲
2.96
Draw ▼
3.38
Ceará ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
Náutico or Draw ▲
1.36
Náutico or Ceará ▲
1.60
Draw or Ceará ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.89
Yes ▼
1.82
No ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50 ▲
2.83
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.22
Over 2.50 ▲
1.61
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.02
Over 3.50 ▼
1.21
Under 3.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.49
Náutico ▼
2.50
Ceará ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.29
Over 11.50
1.54
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.06
Over 12.50 ▲
1.30
Under 12.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
4.12
Over 13.50 ▲
1.19
Under 13.50 ▲
European Handicap 2.00consensus
1.06
Náutico +2 ▲
11.12
Draw +2 ▲
23.84
Ceará -2 ▲
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.78
E ▼
1.94
Over ▲
Total Cards 6.50consensus
3.14
Over 6.50 ▲
1.30
Under 6.50 ▼
Red Card in Matchconsensus
2.97
Yes ▼
1.34
No ▲
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.79
Náutico ▲
1.98
Draw ▼
4.19
Ceará ▼
Double Chance (1st Half)consensus
1.18
Náutico or Draw ▼
1.69
Náutico or Ceará ▼
1.37
Draw or Ceará ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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