Ceará 2-1 Londrina: Stats, xG & Lineups – Aug 22, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Ceará 2-1 Londrina.

90+2'

Gilberto

Attempt blocked. Gilberto (Londrina), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.17.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

R. López

Attempt saved. R. López (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

86'

Melk

Substitution, Ceará: J. W. Neto comes on for Melk.

83'

Gilberto

Attempt saved. Gilberto (Londrina), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

83'

J. Vitor

Substitution, Londrina: W. Chumbinho comes on for J. Vitor.

81'

Gilberto

Attempt missed. Gilberto (Londrina), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

80'

Ceará

Offside, Ceará.

79'

Júlio César

Substitution, Ceará: L. Otávio comes on for Júlio César.

77'

Raí Nascimento

Attempt saved. Raí Nascimento (Londrina), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

76'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

75'

Raí Nascimento

Attempt saved. Raí Nascimento (Londrina), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

73'

Gilberto

Attempt blocked. Gilberto (Londrina), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

68'

Heron

Substitution, Londrina: Kevyn comes on for Heron.

68'

P. Dyego

Substitution, Londrina: Gilberto comes on for P. Dyego.

67'

L. Mugni

Yellow card for L. Mugni (Ceará) for foul.

65'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

65'

Sánchez

Attempt blocked. Sánchez (Ceará), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

64'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

64'

E. Lodovico

Attempt blocked. E. Lodovico (Ceará), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

62'

L. Otávio

Goal! Ceará 2-1 Londrina. L. Otávio (Ceará) scores, assisted by L. Mugni.

61'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

61'

J. Gabriel

Attempt saved. J. Gabriel (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

61'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

58'

L. Holanda

Substitution, Ceará: R. López comes on for L. Holanda.

58'

Richardson

Substitution, Ceará: L. Mugni comes on for Richardson.

57'

J. Vitor

Attempt blocked. J. Vitor (Londrina), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

57'

J. Vitor

Attempt missed. J. Vitor (Londrina), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

56'

Raí Nascimento

Attempt missed. Raí Nascimento (Londrina), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

53'

L. Holanda

Attempt blocked. L. Holanda (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

51'

Vitinho

Substitution, Londrina: Raí Nascimento comes on for Vitinho.

48'

Londrina

Corner, Londrina.

48'

Vitinho

Attempt blocked. Vitinho (Londrina), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

46'

Sávio

Substitution, Ceará: Sánchez comes on for Sávio.

46'

J. Tavares

Substitution, Londrina: G. Portuga comes on for J. Tavares.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Ceará 1-1 Londrina.

45+4'

Londrina

Offside, Londrina.

45+2'

L. Holanda

Attempt missed. L. Holanda (Ceará), header. xG 0.03.

45+2'

J. Tavares

Yellow card for J. Tavares (Londrina) for foul.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

Melk

Attempt saved. Melk (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

40'

G. Rocha

Goal! Ceará 1-1 Londrina. G. Rocha (Ceará) scores.

40'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

37'

L. Otávio

Attempt missed. L. Otávio (Ceará), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

36'

J. Vitor

Attempt missed. J. Vitor (Londrina), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

33'

Melk

Attempt missed. Melk (Ceará), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

32'

Y. Lincoln

Yellow card for Y. Lincoln (Londrina) for foul.

29'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

23'

N. Ferreira

Attempt missed. N. Ferreira (Ceará), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

19'

Melk

Attempt blocked. Melk (Ceará), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

11'

Ceará

Corner, Ceará.

4'

J. Vitor

Goal! Ceará 0-1 Londrina. J. Vitor (Londrina) converts the penalty.

2'

William Pottker

VAR: no penalty for Londrina.

1'

Kick-off: Ceará vs Londrina.

Where the money is

222628 EUR matched · captured 2 months, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 81215 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

66.8%

-32.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

31.0%

+30.9 vs price

Draw 120.0 · implied 0.8%

6.7%

+5.9 vs price

Half time 394 EUR · live

Away 1.35 · implied 74.1%

47.0%

-27.1 vs price

Draw 3.65 · implied 27.4%

32.8%

+5.4 vs price

Home 17.5 · implied 5.7%

19.8%

+14.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 14653 EUR · live

Over 1.7 · implied 58.8%

59.0%

+0.2 vs price

Under 2.42 · implied 41.3%

41.0%

-0.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2014 EUR · live

Under 1.11 · implied 90.1%

97.2%

+7.1 vs price

Over 7.8 · implied 12.8%

2.8%

-10.0 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

2' VAR Penalty check · William Pottker

4' ⚽ J. Vitor (pen)0–1

32' Y. Lincoln · Foul

40' ⚽ G. Rocha1–1

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺² J. Tavares · Foul

46' 🔁 G. Portuga ◂ J. Tavares

46' 🔁 Sánchez ◂ Sávio

51' 🔁 Raí Nascimento ◂ Vitinho

58' 🔁 L. Mugni ◂ Richardson

58' 🔁 R. López ◂ L. Holanda

62' ⚽ L. Otávio · assist L. Mugni2–1

67' L. Mugni · Foul

68' 🔁 Gilberto ◂ P. Dyego

68' 🔁 Kevyn ◂ Heron

79' 🔁 L. Otávio ◂ Júlio César

83' 🔁 W. Chumbinho ◂ J. Vitor

86' 🔁 J. W. Neto ◂ Melk

Full-time · 2–1

Coaches

Daniel Paulista

Rogério Micale

Recent form

Ceará

LANáutico0-1

LHCuiabá1-3

WHPonte Preta2-0

WASão Bernardo4-3

LHCRB0-1

Londrina

DHAtlético Goianiense0-0

LASport Recife1-2

LAGoiás0-1

LHGrêmio Novorizontino1-4

LANáutico1-2

Where to watch

Disney+ESPN

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio Presidente Vargas

City

Fortaleza

Referee

Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro

3.68 yellows/match · 34 matches

Kickoff

22 Aug, 21:00 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie B

Highlights & clips

Ceará 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1 Londrina

22 Matheus Nogueira 6.3 13 L. Otávio 6.6 ↑ 79' 4 L. Otávio 6.6 71 G. Rocha 7.5 12 Sánchez 7.2 ↑ 46' 11 L. Mugni 7.2 ↑ 58' 81 J. Gabriel 6.8 60 E. Lodovico 6.6 88 J. W. Neto 6.4 ↑ 86' 20 N. Ferreira 6.2 7 R. López 6.6 ↑ 58' 30 Kozlinski 6.3 75 K. Leonardo 5.7 15 G. Lacerda 6.4 3 Y. Lincoln 6.4 33 Kevyn 6.7 ↑ 68' 8 L. Marques 6.8 28 Raí Nascimento 6.9 ↑ 51' 77 G. Portuga 6.7 ↑ 46' 55 W. Chumbinho 6.6 ↑ 83' 9 Gilberto 6.5 ↑ 68' 23 William Pottker 7.1

Substitutes

41GG. D. Martins 6DSávio↓ 46'6.6 18DJúlio César↓ 79'6.1 45DV. Uchella 2DRafael Ramos 26MRichardson↓ 58'7.0 40MMelk↓ 86'6.5 86MA. B. d. A. Neto 21MG. Pavani 29MVina 99FL. Holanda↓ 58'6.5 77FL. Lobato

Coach: Daniel Paulista

Substitutes

1GLuan 34DHeron↓ 68'6.4 44DC. Rodrigues 4DW. Reis 2DN. Paraíba 5DTarik 20MJ. Vitor↓ 83'7.0 7MVitinho↓ 51'6.8 32MJ. Tavares↓ 46'6.3 96MT. Cantanhede 11FP. Dyego↓ 68'6.4

Coach: Rogério Micale

Top stats

49%Possession51%

0.65Expected goals (xG)1.24

13Total shots12

5Shots on target4

2Big chances1

8Corners1

Shots

4Shots off target3

4Blocked shots5

5Shots inside box4

8Shots outside box8

0Hit woodwork0

2Big chances scored1

0.14Goals prevented-0.77

Attack

11Touches in box8

74Final third entries72

1Offsides3

17Free kicks17

4Fouled in final third4

Passing

362Passes398

291Accurate passes311

28/60 (47%)Long balls31/65 (48%)

4/28 (14%)Crosses2/11 (18%)

23Throw-ins23

Duels

50Duels50

38/75 (51%)Ground duels37/75 (49%)

14/28 (50%)Aerial duels14/28 (50%)

6/11 (55%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)

8Dispossessed9

Defending

16Tackles13

88Tackles won69

8Interceptions10

14Clearances27

45Recoveries35

Discipline

18Fouls17

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

0Big saves1

4Goal kicks10

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 57 bookmakers

Ceará 50%

28%

Londrina 22%

CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

Who winsCeará to win (DNB) 69% · 1.44 @ forbet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.15 @ 888Sport

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.30 @ fonbet

1X2Ceará to win 50% · 2.30 @ 888Sport

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.26 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.25 @ 888Sport

1X2Londrina to win 22% · 4.50 @ granmadrid

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.78

Ceará ▼

3.43

Draw ▼

4.31

Londrina ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.19

Ceará or Draw ▼

1.28

Ceará or Londrina ▲

1.92

Draw or Londrina ▲

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.87

Yes ▼

1.82

No ▲

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.94

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.31

Over 1.50 ▼

3.14

Under 1.50 ▲

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.99

Over 2.50 ▼

1.74

Under 2.50 ▲

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.44

Over 3.50 ▼

1.27

Under 3.50 ▲

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.25

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.34

Ceará

2.99

Londrina

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.10

Over 7.50

4.99

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.25

Over 8.50

3.41

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.48

Over 9.50

2.45

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.81

Over 10.50

1.92

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.26

Over 11.50

1.57

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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