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Daniel Paulista
Ceará
Londrina
Ceará
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Londrina
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
81215 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
66.8%
-32.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
31.0%
+30.9 vs price
Draw
120.0 · implied 0.8%
6.7%
+5.9 vs price
Half time
394 EUR · live
Away
1.35 · implied 74.1%
47.0%
-27.1 vs price
Draw
3.65 · implied 27.4%
32.8%
+5.4 vs price
Home
17.5 · implied 5.7%
19.8%
+14.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14653 EUR · live
Over
1.7 · implied 58.8%
59.0%
+0.2 vs price
Under
2.42 · implied 41.3%
41.0%
-0.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2014 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
97.2%
+7.1 vs price
Over
7.8 · implied 12.8%
2.8%
-10.0 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
VAR
Penalty check · William Pottker
4'
⚽
J. Vitor (pen)0–1
32'
Y. Lincoln · Foul
40'
⚽
G. Rocha1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'+2
J. Tavares · Foul
46'
🔁
G. Portuga ◂ J. Tavares
46'
🔁
Sánchez ◂ Sávio
51'
🔁
Raí Nascimento ◂ Vitinho
58'
🔁
L. Mugni ◂ Richardson
58'
🔁
R. López ◂ L. Holanda
62'
⚽
L. Otávio · assist L. Mugni2–1
67'
L. Mugni · Foul
68'
🔁
Gilberto ◂ P. Dyego
68'
🔁
Kevyn ◂ Heron
79'
🔁
L. Otávio ◂ Júlio César
83'
🔁
W. Chumbinho ◂ J. Vitor
86'
🔁
J. W. Neto ◂ Melk
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Daniel PaulistaRogério Micale 
Recent form
CearáLANáutico0-1
LHCuiabá1-3
WHPonte Preta2-0
WASão Bernardo4-3
LHClube De Regatas Brasil0-1
LondrinaDHAtlético Goianiense0-0
LASport Recife1-2
LAGoiás0-1
LHGrêmio Novorizontino1-4
LANáutico1-2
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Presidente Vargas
City
Fortaleza
Kickoff
22 Aug, 21:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Ceará
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Londrina
22
Matheus Nogueira
6.3
13
L. Otávio
6.6
↑ 79'
4
L. Otávio
6.6
71
G. Rocha
7.5
12
Sánchez
7.2
↑ 46'
11
L. Mugni
7.2
↑ 58'
81
J. Gabriel
6.8
60
E. Lodovico
6.6
88
J. W. Neto
6.4
↑ 86'
20
N. Ferreira
6.2
7
R. López
6.6
↑ 58'
30
Kozlinski
6.3
75
K. Leonardo
5.7
15
G. Lacerda
6.4
3
Y. Lincoln
6.4
33
Kevyn
6.7
↑ 68'
8
L. Marques
6.8
28
Raí Nascimento
6.9
↑ 51'
77
G. Portuga
6.7
↑ 46'
55
W. Chumbinho
6.6
↑ 83'
9
Gilberto
6.5
↑ 68'
23
William Pottker
7.1
Substitutes
41GG. D. Martins
6DSávio↓ 46'6.6
18DJúlio César↓ 79'6.1
86DA. B. d. A. Neto
45DV. Uchella
2DRafael Ramos
26MRichardson↓ 58'7.0
40MMelk↓ 86'6.5
21MG. Pavani
29MVina
99FL. Holanda↓ 58'6.5
77FL. Lobato
Coach: Daniel Paulista
Substitutes
1GLuan
34DHeron↓ 68'6.4
44DC. Rodrigues
4DW. Reis
2DN. Paraíba
20MJ. Vitor↓ 83'7.0
7MVitinho↓ 51'6.8
32MJ. Tavares↓ 46'6.3
96MT. Cantanhede
5MTarik
11FP. Dyego↓ 68'6.4
Coach: Rogério Micale
Top stats
49%Possession51%
0.65Expected goals (xG)1.24
13Total shots12
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
8Corners1
Shots
4Shots off target3
4Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box4
8Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
0.14Goals prevented-0.77
Attack
11Touches in box8
74Final third entries72
1Offsides3
17Free kicks17
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
362Passes398
291Accurate passes311
28/60 (47%)Long balls31/65 (48%)
4/28 (14%)Crosses2/11 (18%)
23Throw-ins23
Duels
50Duels50
38/75 (51%)Ground duels37/75 (49%)
14/28 (50%)Aerial duels14/28 (50%)
6/11 (55%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
16Tackles13
88Tackles won69
8Interceptions10
14Clearances27
45Recoveries35
Discipline
18Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks10
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 57 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.25 @ 1xBet
Who winsCeará to win (DNB) 69% · 1.44 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.15 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.30 @ fonbet
1X2Ceará to win 50% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.25 @ 888Sport
1X2Londrina to win 22% · 4.50 @ granmadrid
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.78
Ceará ▼
3.43
Draw ▼
4.31
Londrina ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Ceará or Draw ▼
1.28
Ceará or Londrina ▲
1.92
Draw or Londrina ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.87
Yes ▼
1.82
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.94
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50 ▼
3.14
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.99
Over 2.50 ▼
1.74
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.44
Over 3.50 ▼
1.27
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.25
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.34
Ceará
2.99
Londrina
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.10
Over 7.50
4.99
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.25
Over 8.50
3.41
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.48
Over 9.50
2.45
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.81
Over 10.50
1.92
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.26
Over 11.50
1.57
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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