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Enderson Moreira
Grêmio Novorizontino
Sport Recife
Grêmio Novorizontino
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sport Recife
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
65043 EUR · live
Home
1.68 · implied 59.5%
86.4%
+26.9 vs price
Away
7.4 · implied 13.5%
8.5%
-5.0 vs price
Draw
3.75 · implied 26.7%
5.1%
-21.6 vs price
Half time
583 EUR
Away
5.9 · implied 16.9%
37.9%
+21.0 vs price
Draw
2.48 · implied 40.3%
34.5%
-5.8 vs price
Home
2.34 · implied 42.7%
27.3%
-15.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13588 EUR · live
Under
1.5 · implied 66.7%
52.4%
-14.3 vs price
Over
3.0 · implied 33.3%
47.6%
+14.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
215 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
69.2%
-20.1 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
30.2%
+19.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
41'
⚽
Rômulo · assist Luís Oyama1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
Dudu ◂ Clayson
61'
🔁
A. Pucci ◂ Claudinho
61'
🔁
B. Fonseca ◂ Zé Gabriel
61'
🔁
D. Galo ◂ N. Careca
74'
🔁
Juninho ◂ Reidiney
75'
🔁
Marlon ◂ Diego Hernández
75'
🔁
M. Bianqui ◂ L. Naldi
77'
⚽
M. Bianqui · assist D. Galo2–0
85'
K. Almeida · Foul
88'
🔁
Marlon ◂ Robson
88'
🔁
Z. Roberto ◂ W. Oliveira
88'
🔁
Carlão ◂ Rômulo
Full-time · 2–1
90'+1
⚽
Perotti2–1
90'+2
VAR
Goal check · Z. Roberto
90'+6
Juninho · Foul
90'+7
A. Pucci · Argument
90'+8
VAR
Card upgraded to red · A. Pucci
Coaches
Enderson MoreiraGilmar Dal Pozzo 
Recent form
Grêmio NovorizontinoWAAthletic Club4-1
WHAmérica Mineiro3-0
DAClube De Regatas Brasil0-0
LHJuventude0-1
WALondrina4-1
Sport RecifeWHAmérica Mineiro3-0
LAAvaí1-2
WHLondrina2-1
WAVila Nova FC1-0
DHCuiabá1-1
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
City
Novo Horizonte
Kickoff
28 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Grêmio Novorizontino
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sport Recife
93
Jordi
6.7
2
Madson
6.7
26
G. Bahia
6.6
4
Patrick
6.8
66
M. Jesus
6.4
6
Luís Oyama
7.4
17
M. Bianqui
7.8
↑ 75'
50
Juninho
6.3
↑ 74'
28
Marlon
6.5
↑ 88'
19
D. Galo
6.7
↑ 61'
9
Carlão
6.6
↑ 88'
26
T. Couto
7.9
68
A. Pucci
6.3
↑ 61'
3
M. Ajul
7.2
33
K. Almeida
6.9
96
E. Lucas
6.3
6
B. Fonseca
6.4
↑ 61'
99
Z. Roberto
6.6
↑ 88'
31
Marlon
6.5
↑ 75'
8
J. Alano
6.6
77
Dudu
6.8
↑ 46'
9
Perotti
7.1
Substitutes
31GCésar
24DJ. Lora
14DE. Brock
3DCarlinhos
41MReidiney↓ 74'7.9
10MRômulo↓ 88'7.8
18ML. Naldi↓ 75'6.5
15MTavinho
30FN. Careca↓ 61'7.2
11FRobson↓ 88'6.5
27FD. Mathias
7FR. Barcellos
Coach: Enderson Moreira
Substitutes
21GBrenno
27DClaudinho↓ 61'6.5
28DHabraão
5DMarcelo
29MW. Oliveira↓ 88'7.3
23MZé Gabriel↓ 61'7.0
20MDiego Hernández↓ 75'6.6
25MClayson↓ 46'6.3
15MM. Rhikman
48MP. Victor
10MCarlos De Pena
Coach: Gilmar Dal Pozzo
Top stats
41%Possession59%
1.56Expected goals (xG)1.08
24Total shots13
9Shots on target1
1Big chances1
9Corners3
Shots
10Shots off target6
5Blocked shots6
13Shots inside box6
11Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
-0.31Goals prevented0.09
Attack
32Touches in box11
57Final third entries57
2Offsides5
8Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
353Passes522
267Accurate passes430
25/53 (47%)Long balls38/66 (58%)
4/28 (14%)Crosses4/17 (24%)
26Throw-ins28
Duels
43Duels57
31/73 (42%)Ground duels42/73 (58%)
16/36 (44%)Aerial duels20/36 (56%)
3/12 (25%)Dribbles10/18 (56%)
12Dispossessed12
Defending
20Tackles21
70Tackles won62
15Interceptions7
20Clearances29
60Recoveries60
Discipline
14Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves7
9Goal kicks14
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsNovorizontino to win (DNB) 84% · 1.22 @ Betsson
CornersOver 10.5 corners 53% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 63% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 74% · 1.22 @ Unibet
1X2Novorizontino to win 56% · 2.10 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.25 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.16 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ betfair
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ William Hill
1X2Sport Recife to win 18% · 5.10 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.62
Grêmio Novorizontino
3.50
Draw
5.15
Sport Recife
Double Chanceconsensus
1.15
Grêmio Novorizontino or Draw
1.25
Grêmio Novorizontino or Sport Recife
2.12
Draw or Sport Recife
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.75
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.66
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.22
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.55
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.20
Grêmio Novorizontino
4.15
Sport Recife
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.09
Over 7.50
5.29
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.21
Over 8.50
3.61
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.44
Over 9.50
2.55
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.74
Over 10.50
1.99
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.08
Over 11.50
1.70
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Grêmio Novorizontino to avoid defeat
✓
84% confidence
Grêmio Novorizontino to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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