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Helio Dos Anjos
Náutico
Athletic Club
Náutico
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Athletic Club
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
47269 EUR · live
Home
3.75 · implied 26.7%
53.8%
+27.1 vs price
Away
2.3 · implied 43.5%
37.6%
-5.9 vs price
Draw
3.3 · implied 30.3%
8.6%
-21.7 vs price
Half time
256 EUR
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
63.3%
+18.3 vs price
Away
5.2 · implied 19.2%
41.9%
+22.6 vs price
Home
2.72 · implied 36.8%
15.3%
-21.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13043 EUR · live
Over
1.63 · implied 61.3%
65.8%
+4.4 vs price
Under
2.74 · implied 36.5%
35.1%
-1.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
548 EUR
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
87.0%
-3.9 vs price
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
12.8%
+2.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
D. Vera · assist Max0–1
44'
Derek · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
Betão ◂ Ryan
57'
🔁
F. Negrucci ◂ J. P. Torres
57'
🔁
Assis ◂ D. Vera
58'
🔁
Todinho ◂ K. Maranhão
58'
🔁
Vinícius ◂ Samuel
59'
J. Miguel · Professional foul last man
62'
🔁
F. Vieira ◂ W. Aponzá
63'
Douglas · Foul
70'
🔁
M. Henrique ◂ Max
70'
🔁
Jota ◂ Y. Santos
70'
🔁
Reginaldo ◂ Arnaldo
71'
⚽
Derek1–1
80'
🔁
L. Claudio ◂ Derek
Full-time · 2–1
90'
G. Guruceaga · Unallowed field entering
90'+1
⚽
L. Claudio · assist Betão2–1
Coaches
Helio Dos AnjosAlexsandro de Souza 
Recent form
NáuticoDASão Bernardo1-1
WHCeará1-0
DAPonte Preta1-1
DHAtlético Goianiense1-1
DACriciúma0-0
Athletic ClubLHGrêmio Novorizontino1-4
LHCRB0-2
WAAmérica Mineiro3-1
WHCriciúma2-0
DAPonte Preta1-1
Where to watch
PremiereSportv
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio dos Aflitos
City
Recife
Kickoff
28 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Náutico
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Athletic Club
1
Muriel
6.5
93
Reginaldo
6.9
↑ 70'
15
L. Índio
7.3
23
I. Fernandes
7.2
3
Betão
7.2
↑ 46'
8
Wenderson
7.2
29
Todinho
6.9
↑ 58'
16
L. Claudio
7.9
↑ 80'
10
J. Carlos
7.0
24
B. Borasi
6.7
7
Vinícius
6.7
↑ 58'
1
Luan Polli
6.6
2
Douglas
5.8
4
L. Belezi
6.6
5
F. Negrucci
6.1
↑ 57'
23
Enzo
6.5
16
J. Miguel
5.8
6
M. Henrique
5.9
↑ 70'
15
Jota
6.4
↑ 70'
17
K. Rodrigues
6.7
18
Assis
6.0
↑ 57'
13
F. Vieira
6.0
↑ 62'
Substitutes
55GG. Guruceaga
2DArnaldo↓ 70'6.9
6DRyan↓ 46'6.8
34DWanderson
41MSamuel↓ 58'6.6
18MHalan
88MCaio
17MW. M. Azevedo
22MP. Núñez
5MAuremir
72FDerek↓ 80'7.4
19FK. Maranhão↓ 58'6.8
Coach: Helio Dos Anjos
Substitutes
12GTony
19DJ. P. Torres↓ 57'7.6
21MD. Vera↓ 57'7.8
14MY. Santos↓ 70'6.7
8MG. Cabezas
9MK. Lindes
3MA. Pena
10MGustavinho
20FW. Aponzá↓ 62'7.0
11FMax↓ 70'7.0
Coach: Alexsandro de Souza
Top stats
70%Possession30%
1.26Expected goals (xG)0.65
26Total shots6
9Shots on target1
1Big chances1
8Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target2
8Blocked shots3
15Shots inside box4
11Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
-0.23Goals prevented-0.68
Attack
31Touches in box8
92Final third entries41
3Offsides1
13Free kicks16
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
537Passes238
466Accurate passes166
37/58 (64%)Long balls17/56 (30%)
11/34 (32%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
44Throw-ins23
Duels
57Duels43
42/72 (58%)Ground duels30/72 (42%)
14/26 (54%)Aerial duels12/26 (46%)
10/14 (71%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)
2Dispossessed9
Defending
19Tackles6
58Tackles won67
14Interceptions12
15Clearances42
43Recoveries45
Discipline
16Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves7
0Big saves3
6Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsNáutico to win (DNB) 71% · 1.37 @ Betsson
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.42 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.14 @ Unibet
1X2Náutico to win 50% · 2.37 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.25 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.24 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.29 @ 1xBet
1X2Athletic to win 22% · 4.64 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.81
Náutico
3.30
Draw
4.20
Athletic Club
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Náutico or Draw
1.28
Náutico or Athletic Club
1.91
Draw or Athletic Club
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.90
Yes
1.80
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.95
Over 3.50
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
Náutico
2.95
Athletic Club
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
4.10
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.86
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50
2.16
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.97
Over 10.50
1.82
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.49
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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