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Guto Ferreira
Vila Nova FC
Ceará
Vila Nova FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Ceará
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
51159 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.2%
-10.8 vs price
Away
610.0 · implied 0.2%
6.9%
+6.7 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.9%
+4.8 vs price
Half time
1976 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
65.0%
-34.0 vs price
Away
60.0 · implied 1.7%
28.4%
+26.8 vs price
Draw
13.0 · implied 7.7%
6.5%
-1.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
15311 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
62.1%
-32.2 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
37.9%
+33.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3230 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.5%
-14.5 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
15.5%
+13.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
⚽
Breno · assist T. Pagnussat1–0
Half-time · 1–0
45'+2
🔁
W. Formiga ◂ Breno
46'
🔁
M. Araújo ◂ L. Mugni
46'
🔁
Vinicius Zanocelo ◂ Richardson
53'
D. D. Santos · Foul
54'
Júlio César · Foul
71'
🔁
Vina ◂ Júlio César
72'
🔁
L. Lobato ◂ N. Ferreira
73'
🔁
Emerson Urso ◂ Everton Galdino
73'
🔁
Dodô ◂ Marquinhos Gabriel
75'
⚽
A. Luís · assist Janderson2–0
78'
J. Vieira · Foul
79'
🔁
Nathan Camargo ◂ J. Vieira
79'
🔁
Willian Maranhão ◂ D. D. Santos
84'
🔁
A. B. d. A. Neto ◂ E. Lodovico
Full-time · 2–0
90'
Richard · Argument
90'
Vinicius Zanocelo · Foul
Coaches
Guto FerreiraDaniel Paulista 
Recent form
Vila Nova FCDAOperário-PR0-0
WHPonte Preta6-0
WAAtlético Goianiense2-0
LHSport Recife0-1
LAClube De Regatas Brasil0-2
CearáWHLondrina2-1
LANáutico0-1
LHCuiabá1-3
WHPonte Preta2-0
WASão Bernardo4-3
Where to watch
Disney+ESPNSportyNetXsportsYouTube - SportyNet
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
City
Goiânia
Referee
Kickoff
30 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Vila Nova FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Ceará
1
H. Leite
6.9
22
Hayner
7.0
3
T. Pagnussat
7.1
13
W. Formiga
6.8
↑ 45'
6
Higor
6.9
20
Nathan Camargo
6.6
↑ 79'
8
Willian Maranhão
6.6
↑ 79'
70
Emerson Urso
6.7
↑ 73'
31
Dodô
6.6
↑ 73'
99
Janderson
7.5
7
A. Luís
7.7
1
Richard
6.6
29
Vina
6.4
↑ 71'
4
L. Otávio
71
G. Rocha
6.6
12
Sánchez
6.4
8
M. Araújo
6.4
↑ 46'
81
J. Gabriel
6.7
86
A. B. d. A. Neto
6.8
↑ 84'
25
Vinicius Zanocelo
6.7
↑ 46'
77
L. Lobato
6.4
↑ 72'
99
L. Holanda
6.7
Substitutes
29GDalberson
23DBreno↓ 45'7.7
16DI. Cariús
10MMarquinhos Gabriel↓ 73'7.1
15MD. D. Santos↓ 79'6.8
5MJ. Vieira↓ 79'6.6
33MB. Xavier
21MH. Meritão
11MR. Lima
18MEnzo
17FEverton Galdino↓ 73'6.6
9FG. P. P. Lemos
Coach: Guto Ferreira
Substitutes
22GMatheus Nogueira
18DJúlio César↓ 71'6.4
60DE. Lodovico↓ 84'6.4
2DRafael Ramos
11ML. Mugni↓ 46'6.6
20MN. Ferreira↓ 72'6.6
26MRichardson↓ 46'6.4
40MMelk
21MG. Pavani
83FG. Amaral
Coach: Daniel Paulista
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.82Expected goals (xG)0.39
16Total shots7
7Shots on target3
3Big chances0
5Corners7
Shots
6Shots off target4
3Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.16Goals prevented-0.2
Attack
18Touches in box13
53Final third entries58
1Offsides1
10Free kicks18
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
295Passes333
241Accurate passes265
24/52 (46%)Long balls22/43 (51%)
2/9 (22%)Crosses6/25 (24%)
17Throw-ins33
Duels
44Duels56
28/67 (42%)Ground duels39/67 (58%)
11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)
8/15 (53%)Dribbles8/12 (67%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
10Tackles14
70Tackles won57
14Interceptions6
37Clearances12
44Recoveries39
Discipline
18Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
0Big saves2
8Goal kicks4
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.13 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.40 @ Unibet
Who winsVila Nova to win (DNB) 66% · 1.37 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.21 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.22 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ Unibet
1X2Vila Nova to win 48% · 2.40 @ William Hill
1X2Ceará to win 23% · 4.54 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 66% · 2.41 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.90
Vila Nova FC
3.20
Draw
4.05
Ceará
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Vila Nova FC or Draw
1.30
Vila Nova FC or Ceará
1.83
Draw or Ceará
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.10
Yes
1.67
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
7.78
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.42
Over 1.50
2.78
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.30
Over 2.50
1.60
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.42
Over 3.50
1.20
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.34
Vila Nova FC
3.00
Ceará
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
4.03
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.81
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.65
Over 9.50
2.13
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.77
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.53
Over 11.50
1.46
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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