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Daniel Paulista
Ceará
Sport Recife
Ceará
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sport Recife
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
69561 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
70.6%
-27.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.7%
+15.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.8%
+14.7 vs price
Half time
1817 EUR · live
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
57.5%
-34.2 vs price
Away
11.0 · implied 9.1%
28.1%
+19.0 vs price
Home
350.0 · implied 0.3%
14.3%
+14.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
54308 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
92.0%
-5.1 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
8.0%
+3.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3199 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
85.4%
-13.6 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
14.6%
+13.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
N. Ferreira · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Vina ◂ Wendel
46'
🔁
E. Lodovico ◂ N. Ferreira
58'
🔁
L. Otávio ◂ G. Rocha
61'
VAR
Goal not given after review · E. Lodovico
64'
🔁
Clayson ◂ J. Alano
73'
⚽
L. Otávio · assist Melk1–0
74'
🔁
B. Fonseca ◂ W. Oliveira
75'
🔁
Sánchez ◂ Sávio
83'
🔁
Marlon ◂ C. Barletta
83'
🔁
A. Pucci ◂ M. Ajul
83'
🔁
P. Victor ◂ Zé Gabriel
86'
E. Lodovico · Foul
88'
⚽
Melk2–0
89'
🔁
G. Pavani ◂ M. Araújo
Full-time · 2–1
90'+5
⚽
Marlon · assist Diego Hernández2–1
Coaches
Daniel PaulistaGilmar Dal Pozzo 
Recent form
CearáLAVila Nova FC0-2
WHLondrina2-1
LANáutico0-1
LHCuiabá1-3
WHPonte Preta2-0
Sport RecifeLAGrêmio Novorizontino1-2
WHAmérica Mineiro3-0
LAAvaí1-2
WHLondrina2-1
WAVila Nova FC1-0
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
City
Fortaleza
Kickoff
05 Sep, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Ceará
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sport Recife
1
Richard
7.6
18
Júlio César
6.5
4
L. Otávio
6.3
13
L. Otávio
6.3
↑ 58'
12
Sánchez
6.7
↑ 75'
25
Vinicius Zanocelo
6.7
81
J. Gabriel
6.6
60
E. Lodovico
6.6
↑ 46'
40
Melk
8.0
7
G. Pavani
↑ 89'
29
Vina
6.7
↑ 46'
26
T. Couto
7.0
68
A. Pucci
6.0
↑ 83'
5
Marcelo
7.5
33
K. Almeida
7.3
96
E. Lucas
7.6
6
B. Fonseca
6.6
↑ 74'
48
P. Victor
6.5
↑ 83'
31
Marlon
7.5
↑ 83'
20
Diego Hernández
7.4
25
Clayson
6.3
↑ 64'
9
Perotti
6.8
Substitutes
41GG. D. Martins
6DSávio↓ 75'7.3
71DG. Rocha↓ 58'6.7
86DA. B. d. A. Neto
2DRafael Ramos
8MM. Araújo↓ 89'7.0
11MN. Ferreira↓ 46'6.1
10ML. Mugni
26MRichardson
9FWendel↓ 46'6.3
99FL. Holanda
77FL. Lobato
Coach: Daniel Paulista
Substitutes
21GBrenno
3DM. Ajul↓ 83'6.6
28DHabraão
23MZé Gabriel↓ 83'6.8
30MC. Barletta↓ 83'6.6
29MW. Oliveira↓ 74'6.5
8MJ. Alano↓ 64'6.2
15MM. Rhikman
10MCarlos De Pena
77FDudu
99FZ. Roberto
Coach: Gilmar Dal Pozzo
Top stats
40%Possession60%
1.75Expected goals (xG)1.37
15Total shots21
4Shots on target5
3Big chances1
9Corners9
Shots
4Shots off target10
7Blocked shots6
10Shots inside box10
5Shots outside box11
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
0.88Goals prevented-0.05
Attack
19Touches in box26
43Final third entries50
2Offsides1
7Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
291Passes446
225Accurate passes372
14/38 (37%)Long balls26/41 (63%)
5/26 (19%)Crosses6/22 (27%)
22Throw-ins21
Duels
43Duels57
30/66 (45%)Ground duels36/66 (55%)
10/26 (38%)Aerial duels16/26 (62%)
5/14 (36%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
5Dispossessed10
Defending
18Tackles14
50Tackles won50
5Interceptions10
21Clearances21
42Recoveries52
Discipline
16Fouls7
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
1Big saves0
12Goal kicks4
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.85 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.42 @ Unibet
Who winsCeará to win (DNB) 66% · 1.65 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.14 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 29% · 2.48 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
1X2Sport Recife to win 29% · 3.60 @ William Hill
1X2Ceará to win 42% · 2.62 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.31 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
Ceará
3.10
Draw
3.20
Sport Recife
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
Ceará or Draw
1.32
Ceará or Sport Recife
1.62
Draw or Sport Recife
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.77
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.58
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.12
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.05
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.12
Over 2.50
1.68
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.96
Over 3.50
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.60
Ceará
2.20
Sport Recife
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.68
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.63
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50
2.01
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50
1.64
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.70
Over 11.50
1.39
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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