**Sport Recife's home form is suddenly sharp — Ponte Preta can't buy a win.** This is a classic David vs. Goliath moment in Serie B, except Sport just demolished América Mineiro 3-0 at the Ilha do Retiro while Ponte are limping through a four-match losing streak. 🔴

Sport have won 10 of the last 24 head-to-heads and sit in way better shape right now. Ponte's leaky defense has conceded six goals in their last three games alone — they're vulnerable, and the Recife crowd will smell blood.

Key storylines:

- **Sport's home fortress** — unbeaten in their last outing at Ilha do Retiro, now facing a defense in freefall
- **Ponte desperately need shape and discipline** — Elvis and Brandão have to create chances on the counter or this becomes a long night
- **Perotti and Marlon's attacking thrust** — Sport's midfield can press high against a leaderless Ponte setup

Expected lineups:

- **Sport Recife**: T. Couto, Felipinho, M. Ajul, K. Almeida, Claudinho, Zé Gabriel, W. Oliveira, Diego Hernández, Marlon, C. Barletta, Perotti
- **Ponte Preta**: V. F. Andreoli, Kevyson, L. Cunha, M. Silva, S. Palacios, André, Léo Gomes, R. de Souza, Elvis, Brandão, Baianinho

Prediction:

**Sport Recife 2–0 Ponte Preta.** Recife's form, home advantage, and Ponte's collapse make this a clear lean. 💪